Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.90	3.40	3.90
	1.95	3.4	3.55
	2.14	3.41	3.74
	2.07	3.37	3.73	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	1.98	3.46	3.86	Watch
	2.03	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.04)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.67 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
46.6%

Draw
27.8%

Korona Kielce
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	10.5%	15.8%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Korona will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 50%). Korona (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 23. Montoia G. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 72. Jozwiak K. 11. Imaz J. 8. Drachal D. 7. Szmyt K. 17. Sylla Y.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 37. Zwozny H. 44. Sotiriou K. 2. Mosor A. 6. Pieczek M. 18. Hellebrand P. 88. Svetlin T. 71. Dlugosz W. 86. Gustafson S. 7. Blanik D. 14. Stepinski M. (C)
Substitutes
10. Agbonifo J. 27. Conceicao R. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 85. Kozlowski E. 61. Krasiewicz B. 90. Kuczynski M. 21. Lozano S. 1. Perchel M. (G) 2. Polak C. 99. Prelec N. 9. Rallis D. 80. Zalewski Z.	99. Bak D. 67. Barczak N. 21. Ciszek K. 22. Fassbender M. 35. Jakubczyk K. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Matuszewski K. 20. Minuczyc K. 8. Remacle M. 24. Smolarczyk B. 15. Tobola K.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Sylla Y. ↓, Conceicao R. ↑,
61', Jozwiak K. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
64', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
67', Stepinski M. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
67', Gustafson S. ↓, Remacle M. ↑,
74', Drachal D. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
84', Svetlin T. ↓, Jakubczyk K. ↑,
84', Blanik D. ↓, Ciszek K. ↑,
87', Imaz J. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
87', Szmyt K. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Prelec N. ⚽, Lozano S. (A),
90', Hellebrand P. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3.

Jagiellonia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jagiellonia could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Stojinovic D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:23. (average 2.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:9. (average 2.8:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Korona Kielce: 2.08% Jagiellonia: 1.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12:10	2	15
10	Jagiellonia	9	4	0	5	13:16	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Nordsjælland - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Sparta Prague	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Paphos	1:0 ✺
09.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTW
- Korona Kielce
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Korona Kielce - Stal Rzeszów	0:0 ✺
09.07.26	Korona Kielce - Omonia	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Korona Kielce - Zemplín Michalovce	4:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Cracovia - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
10.04.26	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1
05.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:1
27.04.25	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:1
27.10.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:1
11.05.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:0
Polish Cup
28.02.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	2:1 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.11.23	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2

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