Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 19

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Canal+ Family
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Górnik Zabrze		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.5
	2.1	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.75
	2.2	3.22	3.71
	2.05	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.09	3.22	3.66	Watch
	2.13	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.16)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
44.3%

Draw
29.4%

Warta Poznań
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Górnik Zabrze - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Warta will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bielica D. (G) 2. Sekulic B. 5. Szczesniak K. 26. Janicki R. 17. Lukoszek K. 18. Yokota D. 8. Pacheco D. 10. Podolski L. (C) 6. Rasak D. 11. Ennali L. 7. Kapralik A.	1. Lis A. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 44. Szymonowicz D. 14. Tiru B. 22. Matuszewski K. 28. Borowski F. 6. Zurawski M. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 16. Luis M. 47. Prikryl T. 9. Eppel M.
Substitutes
19. Barczak N. 55. Czyz S. 96. Dadok R. 9. Musiolik S. 23. Nascimento F. 16. Olkowski P. 25. Siplak M. 32. Szromnik M. (G) 13. Triantafyllopoulos K.	33. Grobelny J. (G) 3. Kielb J. 15. Kopczynski M. 8. Maenpaa N. 25. Paszkowski J. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 77. Savic S. 4. Stavropoulos D. 29. Vizinger D.
Coaches
Urban J.	Szulczek D.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 2.

Recent matches Górnik Zabrze is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Górnik Zabrze will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Barczak N. (Red Card)

There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Knee Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Zabrze won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.12.23	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.12.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.12.23	Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.11.23	Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Kraków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWLW
- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.12.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Warta Poznań	3:3 ✺
Polish Cup
05.12.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.12.23	Warta Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Legia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
10.11.23	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
29.07.23	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	2:0
05.05.23	Górnik Zabrze - Warta Poznań	2:0
23.10.22	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	0:0
12.03.22	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
19.09.21	Górnik Zabrze - Warta Poznań	1:0
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.04.21	Górnik Zabrze - Warta Poznań	1:2

Upcoming Matches