Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday


	Pogoń Szczecin		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	3.8
	1.75	3.75	4
	1.79	3.75	3.97
	1.76	3.73	3.97
	1.78	3.98	4.19	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.55)	3.78 ↓ (4.5)	3.99 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
52.5%

Draw
24.4%

Warta Poznań
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

20.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

20.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Szczecin's form might have worsened.

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-4%)

Pogoń Szczecin - Warta Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Klebaniuk B. (G) 21. Gamboa J. 47. Golebiewski K. 71. Korczakowski O. 7. Kurzawa R. 4. Leo Borges 25. Lisowski W. 68. Loncar D. 61. Smolinski K. 15. Wedrychowski M. 10. Zahovic L.	33. Grobelny J. (G) 28. Borowski F. 21. Kupczak M. 16. Luis M. 22. Matuszewski K. 25. Paszkowski J. 47. Prikryl T. 4. Stavropoulos D. 44. Szymonowicz D. 14. Tiru B. 99. Zrelak A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Zrelak A. ↓, Eppel M. ↑,
45+1', 0 - 1, Eppel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lisowski W. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
46', Gamboa J. ↓, Ulvestad F. ↑,
62', Golebiewski K. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
62', Smolinski K. ↓, Fornalik D. ↑,
62', Korczakowski O. ↓, Koulouris E. ↑,
82', Koutris L. 🟨,
83', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Jakubczyk K. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Eppel M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Pogoń Szczecin is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.03.24	Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin	2:2 ✺
10.03.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
27.02.24	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.02.24	Pogoń Szczecin - ŁKS Łódź	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTWW
- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.03.24	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
01.03.24	Cracovia - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
26.02.24	Warta Poznań - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.02.24	Warta Poznań - Noteć Czarnków	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
08.12.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Warta Poznań	3:3
21.07.23	Warta Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Warta Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	0:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.02.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Warta Poznań	3:1
07.08.22	Warta Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2
18.12.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Warta Poznań	1:1
01.08.21	Warta Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1

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