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Current Win Probability
Górnik Łęczna 8.8%
Draw 17.4%
Lech Poznań 73.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.7%
19.2%
68.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.2%
16.9%
77.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.6%
1.1%
89.4%
Górnik Łęczna - Lech Poznań Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(84 of 94 users predict this - 89.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.13% – 95.59%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).
Recent matches Górnik Łęczna is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lech in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Górnik Łęczna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lech is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.