Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Pogoń Szczecin		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8
	1.35	4.7	8.5	Watch
	1.32	4.9	9
	1.35	5.22	9.84
	1.32	4.6	9.5	Watch
	1.34	5.05	9.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	4.85 ↑ (4.74)	9.12 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
70.4%

Draw
19.3%

Górnik Łęczna
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

18.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

12.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-28.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Szczecin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Górnik Łęczna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pogoń Szczecin have a series of guest games.

In this match Pogoń Szczecin is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Szczecin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.09.21	Wisła Kraków - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
21.09.21	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.09.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
13.09.21	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTTT
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Cup
28.09.21	Polkowice - Górnik Łęczna	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.21	Górnik Łęczna - Lechia Gdańsk	0:4 ✺
19.09.21	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
13.09.21	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	3:2 ✺
27.08.21	Stal Mielec - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
12.03.17	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Szczecin	2:2
24.09.16	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
07.12.15	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Szczecin	2:3
08.08.15	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Łęczna	0:0
02.03.15	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
30.08.14	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Szczecin	4:2

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