Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.99	3.39	3.93
	1.99	3.37	3.75	Watch
	2	3.2	3.4
	1.97	3.3	3.68	Watch
	2	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.95)	3.35 ↑ (3.23)	3.6 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
46.4%

Draw
27.8%

Warta Poznań
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 14. Szabaciuk F. 5. Broda M. 3. Grabowski M. 52. Warchol D. 10. Deja A. (C) 30. Akhmedov B. 22. Orlik K. 19. Banaszak P. 11. Janaszek F.	1. Grobelny J. (G) 34. Plesnierowicz W. 27. Przybylko K. 44. Markov I. 26. Michalski K. 15. Kopczynski M. 65. Shibata S. 3. Kielb J. (C) 9. Firlej M. 10. Zurawski M. 21. Adamski R.
Substitutes
18. Barauskas D. 6. De Amo J. 44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 15. Krawczyk S. 23. Oduko O. 17. Spacil B. 7. Traore S. 9. Turski H. 16. Zyra P.	2. Bartkowski J. 7. Gaska D. 35. Jakubowski F. . Mackowiak M. 23. Pawlowski S. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 20. Szeliga B. 5. Tkachuk Y. 77. Walus F.
Coaches
Stano P.	Klepczarek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kopczynski M. ↓, Tkachuk Y. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Firlej M. ⚽,
59', Akhmedov B. ↓, Zyra P. ↑,
59', Grabowski M. ↓, Oduko O. ↑,
64', Adamski R. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
71', Zurawski M. ↓, Pawlowski S. ↑,
75', Janaszek F. ↓, Krawczyk S. ↑,
75', Orlik K. ↓, Spacil B. ↑,
76', Szeliga B. 🟨,
79', Kielb J. ↓, Bartkowski J. ↑,
79', Michalski K. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
81', Shibata S. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Warchol D. ⚽,
83', Bartkowski J. 🟨,
90+2', Deja A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Górnik Łęczna is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Warta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Górnik Łęczna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Górnik Łęczna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
25.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLLW
- Warta Poznań
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Wisła Płock - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Warta Poznań - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Warta Poznań - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
06.02.22	Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
06.08.21	Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań	0:4
Polish Division 1
24.04.13	Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	1:1

Upcoming Matches