Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 8

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.25	3.3	2.85
	2.5	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.54	3.3	3.01
	2.56	3.06	2.88	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.7
	2.45	3.18	2.76	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.29)	3.17 ↓ (3.29)	2.82 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
37.7%

Draw
29.3%

Znicz Pruszków
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Warta Poznań - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Znicz will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 27. Przybylko K. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 20. Szeliga B. 26. Michalski K. 5. Tkachuk Y. 10. Zurawski M. 3. Kielb J. 21. Adamski R. 9. Firlej M.	12. Misztal P. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V. 3. Wiech L. 99. Koprowski O. 7. Sokol D. 30. Nowak W. 80. Plewka P. 10. Ciepiela B. 11. Moskwik P. 9. Majewski R. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
7. Gaska D. 35. Jakubowski F. 15. Mackowiak M. 14. Norkowski L. 23. Pawlowski S. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 31. Shibata S. 77. Walus F.	27. Flisiuk K. 13. Imai K. 19. Karol M. 20. Kazimierczak A. 26. Kendzia F. 1. Klebaniuk B. (G) 8. Proczek T. 22. Tabara K. 5. Yukhymovych D.
Coaches
Klepczarek P.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Szeliga B. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Michalski K. ⚽, Zurawski M. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Majewski R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Zurawski M. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
61', Nowak W. 🟨,
67', Sokol D. 🟨,
67', Ciepiela B. ↓, Imai K. ↑,
71', Firlej M. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
73', Sokol D. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
86', Kielb J. ↓, Plesnierowicz W. ↑,
86', Majewski R. ↓, Karol M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 7).

Warta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Znicz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Warta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
23.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	2:4 ✺
17.08.24	Stal Rzeszów - Warta Poznań	4:0 ✺
10.08.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
02.08.24	GKS Tychy - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWT
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
25.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	4:0 ✺
22.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	4:0 ✺
18.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	2:3 ✺
09.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
21.04.18	Warta Poznań - Znicz Pruszków	1:1
22.09.17	Znicz Pruszków - Warta Poznań	0:3

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