Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Wojcik R. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.2
	2.98	3.45	2.2
	3.23	3.72	2.17
	3.24	2.75	2.52	Watch
	3.01	3.42	2.2
	2.82	3.3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)	3.36 ↓ (3.76)	2.23 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
30.7%

Draw
27.6%

Miedź Legnica
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.9%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

23.8%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miedź Legnica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Miedź Legnica will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 6. David Abbott G. 74. Kruk K. 19. Szczytniewski S. 10. Deja A. (C) 88. Osipiuk O. 22. Orlik K. 86. Rafa Santos 17. Spacil B. 11. Tkacz D.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 59. Stepinski P. 2. Koscielny K. 3. Grudzinski M. 7. Bochnak M. 8. Serafin J. 14. Drygas K. (C) 49. Szymoniak O. 18. Cordoba A. 98. Antonik K. 95. Mansfeld M.
Substitutes
30. Akhmedov B. 5. Broda M. 73. Doba S. 15. Krawczyk S. 13. Kroczek D. 20. Malamis P. 27. Masar M. 80. Olszak D. (G) 7. Traore S.	25. Czyborra L. 9. Engvall G. 63. Hajda W. 11. Kuchko G. 10. Mioc B. 80. Petrovic Z. 6. Podgorski J. 21. Stanclik D. 1. Sydorenko D. (G)
Coaches
Rusek D.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Mansfeld M. 🟨,
19', Stepinski P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Serafin J. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
46', Mansfeld M. ↓, Stanclik D. ↑,
53', Grudzinski M. 🟨,
61', David Abbott G. 🟨,
71', Szymoniak O. ↓, Kuchko G. ↑,
71', Bochnak M. ↓, Czyborra L. ↑,
72', Deja A. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Kruk K. ⚽, Orlik K. (A),
83', Drygas K. ↓, Mioc B. ↑,
89', Spacil B. ↓, Doba S. ↑,
89', Tkacz D. ↓, Malamis P. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Orlik K. ⚽, Bednarczyk J. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2.

Górnik Łęczna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Miedź is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Miedź may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Miedź has had a series of home games.

Miedź could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
28.09.25	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	1:5 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
28.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
04.04.25	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2
15.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	1:2
16.02.24	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	0:0
05.08.23	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:0
Polish Cup
03.11.21	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	2:3 penalties
Polish Division 1
27.04.21	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
25.10.20	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	1:0

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