Match Info

Super Lig - Round 35

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Göztepe		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.25	7	7	Watch
	1.24	6.5	9.75
	1.19	7.31	11.71	Watch
	1.23	6.6	10.02
	1.27	6.38	9.44
	1.25	6.5	10
	1.25	6.69	10.3	Watch
	1.19	7.31	11.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	6.79 ↑ (5.82)	9.99 ↑ (8.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
76.6%

Draw
13.9%

Hatayspor
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

16.3%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4%

15.7%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Göztepe - Hatayspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Göztepe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Göztepe will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozcimen A. (G) 77. Bayrak O. 22. Gunter K. 23. Bayir F. 24. Nielsen L. 16. Dennis A. 8. Ildiz A. 26. Bokele M. 43. Tijanic D. 9. Kanatsizkus K. 79. Romulo Cardoso	12. Bekaj V. (G) 4. Calvo F. 3. Kilama G. 15. Yilmaz R. B. 2. Corekci K. 22. Alici K. 8. Massanga Matondo 88. Sertel C. 98. Boutobba B. 5. Saglam G. 10. Strandberg C.
Substitutes
4. Altikardes T. 33. Durakcay T. 19. Emersonn 5. Heliton 97. Lis M. (G) 30. Sangare N. 54. Secgin E. (G) 6. Victor Hugo 45. Yildirim E.	94. Aksoy D. 95. Buz Y. A. 78. Daduk E. (G) 27. Demir C. 77. Fernandes J. 11. Okoronkwo J. 34. Saricali D. (G) 23. Sarka B. 16. Temel S. 25. Yildiz A.
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Sahin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Kanatsizkus K. ⚽, Nielsen L. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Boutobba B. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', Kanatsizkus K. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
72', Tijanic D. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
75', Calvo F. 🟨,
79', Saglam G. 🟨,
79', Strandberg C. 🟥,
81', Bayrak O. ↓, Sangare N. ↑,
85', Yilmaz R. B. ↓, Demir C. ↑,
88', Boutobba B. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
89', Corekci K. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
90+1', Ildiz A. ↓, Heliton ↑,
90+2', Gunter K. 🟨,
90+5', Heliton 🟨,
90+6', Saglam G. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 1.

Göztepe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hatayspor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hatayspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Göztepe is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Göztepe: Bokele M. (Muscle Injury) Djalma Silva (Knee Injury) Miroshi N. (Injury) Solet I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hatayspor: Aboubakar V. (Inactive) Diack L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Göztepe: Erdogan D. (Injury) Juan Santos (Muscle Injury) Koybasi I. (Injury) Matsuki K. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Göztepe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
04.05.25	Adana Demirspor - Göztepe	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.04.25	Trabzonspor - Göztepe	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.25	Göztepe - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Konyaspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTL
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
03.05.25	Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	Beşiktaş - Hatayspor	5:1 ✺
18.04.25	Hatayspor - Konyaspor	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Gaziantep - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Hatayspor - Eyüpspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
15.12.24	Hatayspor - Göztepe	1:1
14.02.22	Hatayspor - Göztepe	2:1
22.09.21	Göztepe - Hatayspor	0:2
10.04.21	Hatayspor - Göztepe	2:3
19.12.20	Göztepe - Hatayspor	0:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
14.02.15	Göztepe - Hatayspor	1:0
27.09.14	Hatayspor - Göztepe	1:1

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