Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 23

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Martín de San Juan		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.00	6.00
	1.71	3.10	5.50
	1.82	3.10	5.00
	1.77	3.10	6.05
	1.73	3.12	6.04	Watch
	1.75	3.05	5.95
	1.75	3.01	6.01	Watch
	1.70	3.00	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.87)	3.06 ↑ (3.02)	5.77 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
53.4%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético de Rafaela
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

30.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

30.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: San Martín de San Juan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 3. Zuliani H. 2. Osores M. 6. Cocca M. 4. Nadalin F. 10. Gonzalez S. (C) 5. Monje L. 7. Jaurena S. 8. Acosta G. 9. Funez N. 11. Coronel F.	1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Solveyra A. 6. Yegros U. 3. Wuattier E. 10. Obando A. 5. Capurro J. 8. Cavallaro J. 11. Pardo M. 9. Albertengo L. (C) 7. Moreno M.
Substitutes
19. Ferreyra L. 12. Garzon L. (G) 17. Iachetti N. 18. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 15. Murillo F. 13. Paz A. 16. Pelaitay N. 20. Rossi G. 14. Rumbolo R.	16. Fernandez M. 13. Gonzalez A. 17. Jourdan F. 12. Martinez R. (G) 15. Morello M. 18. Protti I. 20. Quiroga M. 14. Ramos N. 19. Rodriguez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Monje L. ↓, Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↑,
46', Acosta G. ↓, Rumbolo R. ↑,
46', Nadalin F. ↓, Murillo F. ↑,
53', Cavallaro J. ↓, Jourdan F. ↑,
57', Murillo F. 🟨,
65', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
69', Jaurena S. ↓, Iachetti N. ↑,
71', Moreno M. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
71', Albertengo L. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
71', Obando A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
78', Wuattier E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
80', Coronel F. ↓, Ferreyra L. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Ferreyra L. ⚽, Funez N. (A),
88', 1 - 1, Jourdan F. ⚽, Pardo M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 2.

San Martín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Rafaela has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, San Martín is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de San Juan - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.26	Agropecuario Argentino - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	San Martín de San Juan - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	San Martín de San Juan - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.07.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Temperley - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Club Almagro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
23.06.26	Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.03.26	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
14.09.24	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	0:0
28.04.24	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1
28.08.22	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	3:0
24.07.21	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	0:2
12.03.21	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	4:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.11.16	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	0:3

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