Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Güemes		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5
	1.73	3.2	4.8
	1.75	3.25	5
	1.74	3.25	5.86
	1.84	3.19	4.82	Watch
	1.67	3.2	5.5
	1.69	3.33	5.37
	1.73	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	3.28 ↑ (3.02)	5.17 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Güemes
53.6%

Draw
28.4%

Guillermo Brown
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

30.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Güemes - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Güemes: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendonca J. (G) 4. Broggi C. 2. Escudero M. (C) 6. Faccioli E. 3. Rois A. 8. Griffa E. 5. Pavon A. 10. Carruega S. 11. Lopez F. 7. Vega C. 9. Palacios P.	1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Bazzana N. (C) 6. Martinez E. 3. Pinto M. 8. Funes F. 5. Marin F. 7. Gutierrez S. 11. Gorgerino C. 10. Fernandez M. 9. Galeano M.
Substitutes
20. Alvarez M. 18. Belleggia L. 13. Garcia M. 14. Gerez M. 15. Papa G. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 16. Pizarro L. 17. Santa Cruz I. 19. Torres F.	16. Gonzales E. 18. Jara A. 17. Luayza M. 19. Moreno M. 15. Perez R. 20. Sandoval H. 12. Soria M. (G) 14. Torres F. 13. Velasquez S.
Coaches
Vazquez M.	Sialle A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Galeano M. ⚽,
32', Pavon A. 🟨,
45+2', Werro V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vega C. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
46', Rois A. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
46', Carruega S. ↓, Belleggia L. ↑,
46', Pavon A. ↓, Pizarro L. ↑,
46', Werro V. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
51', Gorgerino C. 🟨,
64', Fernandez M. ↓, Luayza M. ↑,
64', Galeano M. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
67', Escudero M. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
72', Torres F. 🟨,
75', Garcia M. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Alvarez M. ⚽,
87', Gutierrez S. ↓, Torres F. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Güemes won 0.

Güemes is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guillermo Brown is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Güemes is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.06.24	San Martín de San Juan - Güemes	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Güemes - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Güemes - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Chacarita Juniors - Güemes	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Güemes - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLW
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.06.24	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Racing de Córdoba - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
09.06.24	Patronato Parana - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
02.06.24	Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	All Boys - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.02.24	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	1:0
18.06.23	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1
12.02.23	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	4:1
25.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	1:1
08.09.21	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	0:3
02.05.21	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	1:2

Upcoming Matches