Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.33
	1.82	3.2	4.33
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.83	3.23	5.03
	1.83	3.22	5.02
	1.75	3.4	4.4
	1.83	3.24	4.51
	1.83	3.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)	3.29 ↑ (3.19)	4.57 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
51.3%

Draw
28.3%

Guillermo Brown
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

29%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Patronato Parana - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Diaz G. 6. Diaz F. N. 3. Perotti J. 8. Picco A. R. 5. Turraca G. 10. Gonzalez A. 11. Purita E. 7. Coronel F. 9. Pereyra V. L.	1. Giovini S. (G) 16. Torres F. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Velasquez S. 3. Pinto M. 7. Machado C. 5. Marin F. 10. Luayza M. 8. Gorgerino C. 18. Moreno M. 9. Galeano M.
Coaches
Pozo D.	Sialle A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Purita E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
46', Picco A. R. ↓, Barinaga J. ↑,
57', Marin F. 🟨,
61', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Velasquez B. ↑,
69', Torres F. 🟨,
72', Coronel F. ↓, Villarreal R. V. ↑,
73', Funes F. ↓, Chiavetto A. ↑,
79', Velasquez B. 🟥,
84', Gonzalez A. ↓, Hofstetter P. J. ↑,
86', Luayza M. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
87', Galeano M. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
90+1', Hofstetter P. J. 🟨,
90+4', Pinto M. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Patronato will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.06.24	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
20.05.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Patronato Parana - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Patronato Parana - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLWL
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.06.24	Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	All Boys - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Guillermo Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	San Martín de San Juan - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0
04.02.23	Patronato Parana - Guillermo Brown	0:0
23.09.15	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	1:1
06.05.15	Patronato Parana - Guillermo Brown	0:0

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