Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Guillermo Brown		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.68	3	Watch
	2.54	2.54	2.98
	2.70	2.54	3.27	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.56	2.59	3.08
	2.7	2.7	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)	2.59 ↓ (2.7)	3.01 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
35.1%

Draw
34.9%

Alvarado
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Guillermo Brown - Alvarado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G) 11. Bravo I. 9. Cucchi P. 6. Diaz R. 4. Kostelak A. 8. Mera B. 3. Moreno E. 2. Paparelli R. 10. Rivero M. 5. Silva F. 7. Zapulla I.	1. Bilbao E. (C) 11. Castellano A. 2. Centurion F. 9. Cervera G. 8. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 4. Fernandez T. 10. Gutierrez S. 6. Mansilla M. 3. Perez M. 7. Speck N.
Substitutes
13. Alvarez A. 14. Conde M. 20. Dezi L. 17. Esmay V. 15. Giaccone F. 18. Hang F. 19. Lopez R. 12. Ullua S. (G) 16. Varela N.	13. Berra T. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 16. Makarte R. 20. Melean A. 18. Miori M. 14. Nunez L. 17. Pinoni F. 19. Sosa G. 12. Zapata A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', 🟨,
75', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown won 1.

Guillermo Brown has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alvarado is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guillermo Brown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guillermo Brown won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Guillermo Brown	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWTL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	Alvarado - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Alvarado - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Germinal - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Círculo Deportivo - Alvarado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.03.26	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.06.24	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0
11.02.24	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:1
06.10.23	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	2:0
28.05.23	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0
03.04.22	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	1:0
28.11.20	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	0:0

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