Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 18

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Bejas N. (Arg)


	Güemes		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.8	3.25	4.33
	1.8	3.25	4.75
	1.83	3.28	5.1
	1.8	3.2	4.33
	1.84	3.42	4.5
	1.83	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)	3.32 ↑ (3.23)	4.54 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
51.3%

Draw
28.1%

San Telmo
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Telmo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Telmo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Güemes - San Telmo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero J. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 2. Machuca B. 6. Escudero M. 3. Vera M. 8. Carruega S. 5. Garcia M. 11. Alvarez L. 10. Sosa M. 7. Maggi I. 9. Cano L.	1. Yacaruso G. (G) 4. Diaz G. 2. Paiz J. 6. Sandona A. 3. Bustos S. 7. Laborda L. 5. Requena J. 8. Stancato A. 10. Fernandez A. 11. Gonzalez R. 9. Bodencer E.
Substitutes
18. Albornoz C. H. 19. Almada L. 14. Bellone M. 12. Mendonca J. (G) 15. Sambataro M. 20. Santa Cruz I. 16. Vallejos I. 17. Vega A. 13. Zurita M.	16. Amaya A. 12. Atamanuk C. (G) 14. Diaz E. 20. Gimenez B. 19. Larthirigoyen I. 17. Luna R. 13. Pollacchi L. 15. Toledo D. 18. Villarruel G.
Coaches
Perazzo W	Lema D.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Güemes is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.23	Temperley - Güemes	3:3 ✺
15.05.23	Güemes - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Nueva Chicago - Güemes	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Güemes - All Boys	1:1 ✺
21.04.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWTT
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.23	San Telmo - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	San Telmo - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	1:4 ✺
23.04.23	San Telmo - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.03.22	Güemes - San Telmo	0:1
08.10.21	Güemes - San Telmo	1:1
17.06.21	San Telmo - Güemes	1:1

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