Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)


	San Telmo		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2	3.1	3.9
	2.17	3.03	3.56
	2.3	2.88	3.2
	2.22	2.97	3.7
	2.2	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	3.56 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
43%

Draw
30.8%

Alvarado
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

San Telmo - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

San Telmo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Telmo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	1:4 ✺
23.04.23	San Telmo - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
05.04.23	Agropecuario Argentino - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Alvarado - Temperley	0:1 ✺
24.04.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Alvarado - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	All Boys - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
05.04.23	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.05.22	San Telmo - Alvarado	0:1

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