Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Viola S. (Arg)


	San Telmo		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.2
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.55	3	2.2
	3.62	3.12	2.23
	3.25	3	2.2
	3.45	3.26	2.17	Watch
	3.3	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.79)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	2.19 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
27.5%

Draw
29.9%

Patronato Parana
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.2%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

27.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

San Telmo - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Patronato will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

San Telmo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Patronato is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Patronato will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	San Telmo - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	1:4 ✺
23.04.23	San Telmo - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Patronato Parana - Temperley	3:1 ✺
07.05.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.23	Patronato Parana - FBC Melgar	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	All Boys - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWTW

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