Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Gżira United		Birkirkara

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.12	Watch
	3.36	3	2.2
	2.99	3.44	2.17	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	2.97	3.38	2.13
	3.25	2.9	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.84)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)	2.16 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
29.1%

Draw
28.9%

Birkirkara
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.7%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.2%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Gżira United - Birkirkara Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gżira will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gżira (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gżira (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 9. Andre Carlos 57. Bonilla J. 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Failla C. 10. Maxuell Samurai (C) 23. N’sa C. 14. Riascos L. 96. Stojanovic M.	19. Grech M. (G) 99. Bayo J. 27. Coppola A. (C) 10. Dimech S. 7. Garzia A. 2. Lopez F. 59. Makoma D. 3. Morello M. 9. Reid K. 41. Roni Santos 6. Viveros S.
Substitutes
19. Bastic S. 28. Cassar N. 11. Dimech J. P. 20. Galea K. (G) 25. Ghigo G. 7. Martinez S. 29. Mifsud Z. 4. Previ A. 24. Roh S. 1. Sargent K. (G) 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.	33. Acheampong G. 22. Busuttil J. 1. Cortis S. (G) 30. Cross N. 16. El Hazawi D. (G) 17. Fenech K. 24. Lacunza L. 23. Magri S. 25. Micallef N. 14. Pullicino D. 50. Vrcic J.
Coaches
Abdilla D.	Festa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Garzia A. 🟨,
17', Andre Carlos ↓, Cassar N. ↑,
35', Failla C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Borg B. 🟨,
64', Reid K. ↓, Vrcic J. ↑,
64', Borg B. ↓, Bastic S. ↑,
70', Lopez F. 🟥,
72', 1 - 0, Bonilla J. ⚽,
79', Borg A. 🟨,
80', Viveros S. ↓, Acheampong G. ↑,
85', Cassar N. ↓, Van de Bovenkamp M. ↑,
85', Bonilla J. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
87', Garzia A. ↓, Cross N. ↑,
88', Dimech S. ↓, Fenech K. ↑,
90', Bastic S. 🟨,
90', Coppola A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Bastic S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gżira won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	5	10
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Last Results with these Odds

Gżira United - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.42%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
18.01.26	Gżira United - Marsaxlokk	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	4:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	St. Andrews - Gżira United	0:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
19.12.25	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW
- Birkirkara FC
Maltese Premier League
18.01.26	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Valletta - Birkirkara	2:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	Birkirkara - Victoria Wanderers	3:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
21.12.25	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
23.08.25	Birkirkara - Gżira United	0:0
18.01.25	Birkirkara - Gżira United	2:2
26.10.24	Gżira United - Birkirkara	0:1
20.04.24	Gżira United - Birkirkara	0:0
16.12.23	Birkirkara - Gżira United	3:2
Club Friendly
23.06.23	Gżira United - Birkirkara	4:0
Maltese Premier League
08.04.23	Gżira United - Birkirkara	1:3

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