Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Play Out - Round 15

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Referee: Zammit F. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Paola Hibernians		Gżira United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.48	3.2	2.52	Watch
	2.52	3.31	2.57	Watch
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.49	3.2	2.51
	2.45	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.57)	3.17 ↓ (3.48)	2.58 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paola Hibernians
36.7%

Draw
28.4%

Gżira United
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Paola Hibernians - Gżira United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hibernians will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gżira will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hibernians (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hibernians (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Branescu L. (G) 22. Bonnici D. 96. Charleston 23. Ellul M. 18. Halabaku K. 11. Kristensen B. (C) 70. Lima M. 9. Miullen 44. Pedrao 7. Villela L. 14. Xuereb D.	1. Sargent K. (G) 5. Abela D. 57. Bonilla J. 6. Borg A. 98. Kante 7. Martinez S. 3. Mentz G. (C) 14. Riascos L. 24. Roh S. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M. 30. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
19. Abela L. 4. Alfred S. 21. Buhagiar L. 24. Camilleri C. (G) 6. Caruana L. 8. Mangion D. 20. Muscat D. 30. Sacco H. (G) 27. Sultana J. 5. Vella D. 15. Zerafa N.	8. Borg B. 11. Cassar N. 33. Colombo E. (G) 23. Dimech A. 20. Galea K. (G) 25. Ghigo G. 10. Maxuell Samurai 28. Mifsud Z. 29. Spiteri N.
Coaches
Nisevic B.	Abdilla D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Pedrao ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', Halabaku K. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Villela L. ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Miullen ⚽,
68', Riascos L. 🟨,
68', Miullen 🟨,
72', Roh S. ↓, Maxuell Samurai ↑,
72', Riascos L. ↓, Cassar N. ↑,
73', Van de Bovenkamp M. 🟨,
75', Bonnici D. 🟨,
76', Miullen ↓, Alfred S. ↑,
76', Bonnici D. ↓, Caruana L. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Mentz G. ⚽,
79', Pedrao 🟨,
80', 4 - 1, Villela L. ⚽,
83', Martinez S. ↓, Ghigo G. ↑,
83', Sargent K. ↓, Galea K. ↑,
83', Ellul M. ↓, Abela L. ↑,
83', Pedrao ↓, Muscat D. ↑,
85', Lima M. ↓, Buhagiar L. ↑,
88', Kante 🟨,
90+3', Alfred S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 3.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 37:27. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hibernians won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Last Results with these Odds

Paola Hibernians - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paola Hibernians
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	Paola Hibernians - Gudja United	3:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
18.12.25	Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Paola Hibernians - Marsaxlokk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWTT
- Gżira United
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	St. Andrews - Gżira United	0:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
19.12.25	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1 ✺
11.12.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
24.11.25	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
18.08.25	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	5:3
19.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	1:2
08.02.25	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:4
25.08.24	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	2:0
Club Friendly
26.07.24	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:0
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:0
Maltese Premier League
28.01.24	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	3:2

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