The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gżira United 13.7%
Draw 20.7%
Hamrun Spartans 65.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.8%
22.5%
60.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
21.9%
62.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 45. Ange M. 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Joao Teixeira 27. Maio F. 3. Mentz G. (C) 2. Pllana A. 44. Saldanha 30. Xuereb D.
1. Marchegiani G. (G) 27. Bjelicic O. 94. Camenzuli R. 9. Ceter D. 88. Coric A. 91. Emerson (C) 8. Grech J. 13. Polito V. 29. Trotta M. 47. Virano G. 5. Xerri S.
Substitutes
17. De Flavia A. 23. Djadjo D. 32. Farias J. 11. Farrugia D. 4. Joyce N. 7. Luisinho 77. Pace K. 15. Pena Serna J. 1. Sargent K. (G) 14. Trakosopoulos D. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
7. Attard S. 92. Brincau K. (G) 24. Camilleri S. 77. Caua de Aguiar Alves M. 98. Celio (G) 6. Guillaumier M. 25. Hili K. 21. Letherby D. 4. Mangion M. 3. Mizzi I. 10. Villela L.
Coaches
Abdilla D.
Amelia M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Trotta M. ⚽,
33', Camenzuli R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Saldanha ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Ceter D. ↓, Villela L. ↑,
53', Emerson ↓, Caua de Aguiar Alves M. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Trotta M. ⚽,
71', Borg A. 🟨,
71', Xuereb D. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
76', Coric A. ↓, Attard S. ↑,
81', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', Virano G. ↓, Guillaumier M. ↑,
83', Abela D. ↓, Pena Serna J. ↑,
88', Caua de Aguiar Alves M. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Pllana A. ⚽,
90+2', Borg B. ↓, Farrugia D. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 11th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 2.
Gżira is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Hamrun shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hamrun could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Hamrun enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gżira has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:18 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gżira against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Malta
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Colombo E. (G) 
Abela D. 
Ange M. 
Joao Teixeira 
Maio F. 
Pllana A. 
Marchegiani G. (G) 
Bjelicic O. 
Ceter D. 
Coric A. 
Virano G. 
Djadjo D. 
Van de Bovenkamp M. 
Mangion M. 
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