Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Gothia Park Academy (Göteborg)

Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	STVR Sport, Voyo
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Häcken		Spartak Trnava

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6	Watch
	1.57	4.1	5.25
	1.46	3.95	6.9	Watch
	1.44	4.45	7.88
	1.23	5.52	13.94	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.46	4.36	7.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.76)	4.42 ↑ (3.64)	7.55 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
65.9%

Draw
21.5%

Spartak Trnava
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.9%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Häcken's performance.

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Trnava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Häcken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Trnava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	20%	2.9%

Häcken - Spartak Trnava Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Trnava (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 - Häcken (5.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Trnava (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Häcken will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Trnava (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Berisha E. (G) 44. Hilvenius H. 8. Andersen S. 4. Lode M. 21. Lundkvist A. 10. Rygaard M. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 24. Layouni A. 20. Svanback A. 7. Ngabo S. 39. Brusberg I.	1. Frelih Z. (G) 4. Holik L. 24. Kostrna K. 2. Nwadike P. 27. Tomic M. 6. Prochazka R. (C) 14. Kratochvil M. 29. Mikovic M. 88. Badolo C. 57. Duris M. 11. Azango P.
Substitutes
16. Dahbo P. 19. Dembe J. 17. Engdahl B. 9. Hrstic S. 32. Jansson O. (G) 13. Jansson S. 15. Leach S. 11. Lindberg J. 1. Linde A. (G) 29. Nioule S. 22. Zecevic N.	18. Gong H. 3. Jureskin R. 21. Karhan P. 19. Kudlicka T. 93. Metsoko I. 28. Moistsrapishvili G. 17. Paur J. 7. Skrbo S. 44. Taraduda D. 13. Ujlaky M. 72. Vantruba M. (G) 41. Vasil P. (G)
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Scasny M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Nwadike P. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Gustafson S. (Pen),
32', Ngabo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tomic M. ↓, Ujlaky M. ↑,
58', Duris M. 🟨,
58', Layouni A. 🟨,
63', Brusberg I. ↓, Dembe J. ↑,
63', Ngabo S. ↓, Nioule S. ↑,
64', Andersen S. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Prochazka R. ⚽,
69', Kratochvil M. ↓, Moistsrapishvili G. ↑,
69', Azango P. ↓, Kudlicka T. ↑,
70', Badolo C. ↓, Skrbo S. ↑,
75', Lundkvist A. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Moistsrapishvili G. ⚽, Duris M. (A),
85', Rygaard M. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Dembe J. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Häcken is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Trnava is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trnava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Trnava has had a series of home games.

In this match, Häcken is considered a favorite.

We predict that Häcken will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Häcken won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.07.25	Häcken - Halmstad	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Häcken	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.07.25	Elfsborg - Häcken	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Häcken - GAIS	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.06.25	Häcken - Tromsø	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWLW
- Spartak Trnava
UEFA Europa League
10.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Häcken	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Spartak Trnava - Borac Banja Luka	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Spartak Trnava - Karviná	1:3 ✺
18.06.25	Spartak Trnava - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Häcken	0:1

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