Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 11

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Høddvoll Stadion (Ulsteinvik)

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Hødd		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.5	1.62
	4.10	4.10	1.65
	4.35	4.35	1.62
	4.4	4.72	1.66
	4.23	4.86	1.61	Watch
	4	4.2	1.62
	4.29	4.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↓ (4.66)	4.46 ↓ (4.55)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hødd
22.1%

Draw
20.8%

Kongsvinger
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

20.4%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

20.2%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hødd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Hødd - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: Kongsvinger will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kinn T. (G) 24. Robertsen J. 5. Mulac M. 3. Hanssen S. 6. Urnes H. 16. Dalsgaard V. 7. Scarcella M. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 10. Skotheim I. 9. Streete C. 19. Mikkelsen S.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 23. Christensen F. 27. Sande M. 18. Flores M. 28. Christiansen R. 11. Job D.
Substitutes
27. Andresen G. 25. Bergsvik A. (G) 4. Blikstad E. 23. Gjerde F. 14. Mikhail M. 20. Nilsen-Modebe S. 18. Olsen O. 11. Rawufu M. 21. Roppen A.	1. Da Rocha W. (G) 29. Fjellman P. 22. Langrekken L. 5. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 7. Pajic E. 16. Udnaes P.
Coaches
Poulsen I.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Dalsgaard V. ⚽, Mikkelsen S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Flores M. ↓, Langrekken L. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Christiansen R. ⚽, Job D. (A),
54', 1 - 2, Dybevik A. ⚽, Christiansen R. (A),
63', Gjerstrom M. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
71', Mikkelsen S. ↓, Rawufu M. ↑,
71', Dalsgaard V. ↓, Nilsen-Modebe S. ↑,
73', Mbow M. 🟨,
76', Christiansen R. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
77', Hanssen S. ↓, Blikstad E. ↑,
79', Nielsen E. 🟨,
85', Job D. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
90+1', Scarcella M. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hødd won 2.

Hødd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kongsvinger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Kongsvinger is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hødd won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hødd won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Kongsvinger: 29.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kongsvinger	24	16	5	3	70:35	35	53
7	Hodd	24	10	4	10	40:48	-8	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Hødd
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.26	Bryne - Hødd	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Hødd - Egersund	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Ranheim - Hødd	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	Hødd - Sogndal	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Strømmen - Hødd	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLTW
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.26	Kongsvinger - Åsane	3:1 ✺
25.05.26	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Kongsvinger - Odd	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Lyn - Kongsvinger	0:3 ✺
08.05.26	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Kongsvinger - Hødd	3:0
05.04.25	Hødd - Kongsvinger	0:2
02.09.23	Hødd - Kongsvinger	2:1
30.04.23	Kongsvinger - Hødd	0:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
12.09.21	Hødd - Kongsvinger	0:0
04.08.21	Kongsvinger - Hødd	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.08.16	Kongsvinger - Hødd	2:1

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