Match Info

3rd Division - Promotion Group - Round 23

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Hørsholm Idrætspark (Rungsted Kyst)


	Hørsholm-Usserød		Nykøbing

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.1	1.59
	4.11	4.21	1.64
	4.12	4.4	1.62	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.6
	4.39	4.05	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (4.44)	4.11 ↓ (4.32)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hørsholm-Usserød
21.7%

Draw
22%

Nykøbing
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

21.3%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

20.7%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hørsholm-Usserød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Hørsholm Usserød - Nykøbing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In recent matches, Hørsholm-Usserød has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nykøbing is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Nykøbing is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hørsholm-Usserød won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hørsholm-Usserød won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Horsholm-Usserod	10	3	3	4	20:19	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Danish 3 Division
06.04.26	FA 2000 - Hørsholm-Usserød	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Brønshøj BK	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Lyseng	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sundby - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL
- Nykøbing FC
Danish 3 Division
06.04.26	Nykøbing - Vejgaard	5:0 ✺
02.04.26	Holbæk - Nykøbing	1:5 ✺
28.03.26	Nykøbing - Vanløse	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Odder - Nykøbing	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Nykøbing - FA 2000	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
15.11.25	Nykøbing - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:1
02.08.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Nykøbing	0:2

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