Match Info

1st Division - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Capelli Sport Stadion (Koge)

Referee: Stegemuller Fogh Simbold O. A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	HB Køge		Hillerød

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.70
	2.65	3.5	2.45
	2.66	3.75	2.49
	2.68	3.61	2.41	Watch
	2.6	3.75	2.45
	2.66	3.45	2.48	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)	3.53 ↑ (3.33)	2.47 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
36%

Draw
26.4%

Hillerød
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

HB Køge - Hillerød Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Køge will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Hillerød will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommergaard N. (G) 4. Hald S. 22. Jakobsen M. 2. Bust L. 28. Larsen G. 7. Jensen M. (C) 23. Westergren M. 6. Brodersen R. 19. Semovski E. 9. Thomsen T. 11. Warming M.	1. Dithmer A. (G) 13. Larsen S. 18. Lauritsen O. 7. Witt J. (C) 17. Julo M. 19. Corlu R. 20. Kucukylidiz B. 11. Mouritz M. 14. Opoku S. 8. Arndal T. 23. Sigurdsson J.
Substitutes
17. Achton L. 5. Culhaci G. 25. Isaki F. 21. Jakobsen N. 16. Mols C. (G) 8. Romer M. 27. Stolshoj N. 30. Villumsen E.	6. Derrar H. 21. Enghardt K. 24. Hogh Jensen F. 2. Hoyer A. 22. Jalaei S. 10. Kallsberg P. 3. Lodberg A. 30. Mortensen A. (G) 28. Nohr G.
Coaches
Pedersen N.	Lonstrup C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Opoku S. ⚽, Julo M. (A),
25', Hald S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Larsen S. 🟨,
56', Corlu R. ↓, Hogh Jensen F. ↑,
56', Opoku S. ↓, Kallsberg P. ↑,
59', Warming M. ↓, Isaki F. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Larsen G. ⚽,
73', Sigurdsson J. ↓, Enghardt K. ↑,
73', Semovski E. ↓, Culhaci G. ↑,
73', Westergren M. ↓, Romer M. ↑,
73', Arndal T. ↓, Nohr G. ↑,
81', Kucukylidiz B. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
81', Brodersen R. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
82', Hald S. ↓, Achton L. ↑,
90', Julo M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 0.

Køge is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hillerød has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Køge won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hillerod: 1.62% Koge: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hillerod	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9
11	Koge	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Hillerød - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.28%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
29.08.26	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	HB Køge - Kolding IF	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	HB Køge - Hvidovre	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Brønshøj BK - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLL
- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
30.08.26	Hillerød - Hobro	3:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Avarta - Hillerød	0:4 ✺
Danish 1 Division
20.08.26	Vendsyssel - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Hillerød	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
07.11.25	HB Køge - Hillerød	1:1
23.08.25	Hillerød - HB Køge	3:1
25.04.25	Hillerød - HB Køge	3:0
13.04.25	HB Køge - Hillerød	0:2
02.12.24	HB Køge - Hillerød	1:5
16.08.24	Hillerød - HB Køge	4:2
05.05.24	HB Køge - Hillerød	1:1

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