Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 26

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: DS Arena (Hobro)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hobro		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.28	3.35	3.34
	2.2	3.41	3.17	Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.21	3.22	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.03)	3.26 ↓ (3.53)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobro
42.4%

Draw
28.6%

HB Køge
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Hobro - HB Køge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Dakir J. (G) 18. Sogaard E. (C) 12. Jacobsen M. 13. Dietz F. 7. Klitten O. 17. Hyltoft Z. 27. Klitten L. 3. Enemark C. 9. Andreasen S. 11. Hauge R. 22. Huldahl M.	29. Sommergaard N. (G) 23. Westergren M. 22. Jakobsen M. 2. Bust L. 14. Sorensen V. 7. Jensen M. (C) 27. Romer M. 16. Hald S. 20. Gothler A. 9. Thomsen T. 28. Larsen G.
Substitutes
15. Bjerge G. 23. Bruhn M. 41. Bryld A. 29. Haarup M. 26. Hansen T. 5. Kannegaard M. 16. Meedom O. 8. Pedersen M. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)	35. Achton L. 17. Alkhoudari B. 34. Choukri A. 31. Engberg O. 11. Mudi 19. Semovski E. 12. Talyspayev D. (G)
Coaches
Gjesing J.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Thomsen T. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Sogaard E. 🟨,
45+2', Dietz F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Gothler A. ⚽, Larsen G. (A),
61', Andreasen S. ↓, Hansen T. ↑,
61', Enemark C. ↓, Haarup M. ↑,
61', Hauge R. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
70', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
78', Larsen G. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Bruhn M. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Thomsen T. ↓, Mudi ↑,
86', Sogaard E. ↓, Bjerge G. ↑,
90+2', Gothler A. ↓, Achton L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Hobro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.1:0.8).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hobro: 2.02% Koge: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hobro	9	4	1	4	12:16	-4	13
11	Koge	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
18.04.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:6 ✺
10.04.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	B.93 Copenhagen - Hobro	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
17.04.26	B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	HB Køge - Middelfart	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	HB Køge - Lyngby BK	3:3 ✺
13.03.26	B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
27.02.26	Hobro - HB Køge	1:1
18.07.25	HB Køge - Hobro	2:0
22.05.25	Hobro - HB Køge	2:1
21.04.25	HB Køge - Hobro	0:2
18.10.24	HB Køge - Hobro	4:1
02.08.24	Hobro - HB Køge	2:1
27.10.23	Hobro - HB Køge	2:1

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