Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Middelfart Stadium (Middelfart)

Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Middelfart		Hobro

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.66
	4.35	3.65	1.77	Watch
	4.76	3.93	1.74
	4.36	3.86	1.74	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.67
	4.73	3.74	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (3.92)	3.74 ↑ (3.41)	1.71 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middelfart
20.5%

Draw
25%

Hobro
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.1%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

26.5%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middelfart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hobro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Middelfart - Hobro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middelfart (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hutters J. (G) 7. Linnet J. 3. Kristensen M. 12. Thomsen L. (C) 2. Matiebel P. 25. Pedersen S. 18. Wielzen J. 26. Juul-Sandberg N. 6. Kakeeto R. 8. Praest M. 9. Boesen M.	25. Dakir J. (G) 18. Sogaard E. (C) 12. Jacobsen M. 13. Dietz F. 27. Klitten L. 7. Klitten O. 17. Hyltoft Z. 3. Enemark C. 11. Hauge R. 9. Andreasen S. 22. Huldahl M.
Substitutes
21. Andersen E. 17. Greve M. 28. Hegelund V. 20. Koch R. 15. Nielsen M. 1. Radza C. (G) 5. Zjajo B.	15. Bjerge G. 23. Bruhn M. 29. Haarup M. 26. Hansen T. 5. Kannegaard M. 21. Lind J. 16. Meedom O. 8. Pedersen M. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)
Coaches
Johannsen K.	Gjesing J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', Sogaard E. 🟨,
17', Boesen M. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Andreasen S. ⚽, Sogaard E. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Hauge R. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Huldahl M. ⚽, Andreasen S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Matiebel P. ↓, Greve M. ↑,
46', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
46', Sogaard E. ↓, Bjerge G. ↑,
47', 0 - 4, Pedersen M. ⚽,
56', 0 - 5, Huldahl M. ⚽, Pedersen M. (A),
63', Kristensen M. ↓, Hegelund V. ↑,
63', Kakeeto R. ↓, Koch R. ↑,
63', Praest M. ↓, Zjajo B. ↑,
63', Dietz F. ↓, Kannegaard M. ↑,
67', Huldahl M. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
74', Boesen M. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
77', Hauge R. ↓, Lind J. ↑,
82', 0 - 6, Bruhn M. ⚽,

Preview

Middelfart is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hobro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hobro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hobro is the team to beat.

We predict that Hobro will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Middelfart won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hobro: 2.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hobro	9	4	1	4	12:16	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 1 Division
10.04.26	HB Køge - Middelfart	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Middelfart - Aalborg BK	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Lyngby BK - Middelfart	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Middelfart - Hvidovre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
10.04.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	B.93 Copenhagen - Hobro	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Kolding IF - Hobro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
21.03.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:1
27.07.25	Hobro - Middelfart	0:0
Danish Landspokal Cup
10.09.24	Middelfart - Hobro	3:2

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