Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	HB Køge		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.4	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.44
	5.8	4.7	1.45	Watch
	5.6	4.4	1.43
	5.87	4.56	1.43
	6	4.33	1.44	Watch
	6.15	4.75	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.81 ↓ (6)	4.57 ↑ (4.34)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
15.8%

Draw
20.1%

Midtjylland
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

21.6%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

18.4%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midtjylland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

HB Køge - Midtjylland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Køge is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Midtjylland is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Køge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Midtjylland is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
08.11.20	HB Køge - Silkeborg IF	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	HB Køge - Skive IK	0:0 ✺
24.10.20	Vendsyssel - HB Køge	0:1 ✺
21.10.20	HB Køge - Fredericia	0:1 ✺
17.10.20	Hobro - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLL
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
08.11.20	Midtjylland - Copenhagen	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.11.20	Midtjylland - Ajax	1:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
31.10.20	Nordsjælland - Midtjylland	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.10.20	Liverpool - Midtjylland	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
24.10.20	Brøndby - Midtjylland	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

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