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Current Win Probability
HFX Wanderers 21.6%
Draw 22.4%
Supra du Québec 56.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31%
25%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
24.7%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HFX Wanderers's form might have worsened.
Supra du Québec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Supra du Québec's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HFX Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Supra du Québec than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Supra du Québec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HFX Wanderers - Supra du Québec Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Supra du Québec (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Astridge S. (G) 17. Troisi F. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 16. Sow K. 7. Telfer R. 6. Callegari L. 18. Rampersad A. (C) 22. Zitman S. 8. Johnston I. 27. Pierre N. 11. Reid A.
32. Milli J. (G) 15. Brault-Guillard Z. 2. Auguste C. 4. Chretien M. 11. Abzi D. 33. Sissoko A. 6. Biello A. 7. Choiniere D. (C) 10. Rea S. 9. Kwemi L. A. 99. Conde I.
Substitutes
21. Alphonse J. 23. Arilla M. 14. Bahamboula J. 1. Carducci M. (G) 20. Ciccarelli T. 4. Deng J. 5. Olguin L.
80. Diop M. (G) 8. El Kalkouli O. 23. Fernandez Z. 3. Lebeuf T. 19. McInerney J. 24. Mlah S. 92. Santos N.
Coaches
Sartini V.
Selaidopoulos K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Conde I. ⚽, Kwemi L. A. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Conde I. ⚽, Sissoko A. (A),
45', Brault-Guillard Z. 🟨,
45+5', Conde I. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 2, Reid A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 2 - 2, Auguste C. (Own goal),
63', 2 - 3, Meilleur-Gigeuere T. (Own goal),
65', Pierre N. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
65', Troisi F. ↓, Deng J. ↑,
65', Zitman S. ↓, Arilla M. ↑,
66', Sissoko A. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
66', Choiniere D. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
69', 3 - 3, Sow K. ⚽, Callegari L. (A),
71', 3 - 4, Rea S. ⚽,
75', Rampersad A. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
81', Conde I. ↓, Fernandez Z. ↑,
85', Johnston I. 🟨,
86', Reid A. ↓, Olguin L. ↑,
88', Kwemi L. A. ↓, El Kalkouli O. ↑,
90+3', Deng J. 🟨,
Preview
HFX Wanderers has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Supra du Québec is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
HFX Wanderers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Supra du Québec for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HFX Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.
Canada
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Astridge S. (G) 
Troisi F. 
Telfer R. 
Callegari L. 
Zitman S. 
Pierre N. 
Milli J. (G) 
Kwemi L. A. 
Arilla M. 
Bahamboula J. 
Diop M. (G) 
Santos N. 
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