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Current Win Probability
HHC Hardenberg 53.7%
Draw 24.2%
Excelsior Maassluis 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
22.5%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
22.1%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HHC Hardenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HHC Hardenberg than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
HHC Hardenberg - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Maats J. (G) 3. Fatima S. (C) 4. Steenvoorden M. 2. Sopacua T. 15. de Lange T. 7. van Doorm S. 6. Eikelboom H. 23. Reinders T. 10. Spit L. 28. Pouwels M. 9. Zwikstra G.
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 24. Lopes Varela D. 26. Bronder S. 8. Udenhout J. 2. Tureaij C. 30. Hamd Y. 27. Plank D. (C) 10. Madi A. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B. 11. Tavares Q.
Substitutes
18. Brzezowski J. 14. Deuling S. 21. Eggengoor I. 25. Meier Y. (G) 17. Mink M. 22. ten Brinke N.
18. Hulshoff D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 12. Riley B. 17. Slagveer D. 29. Smits S. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 19. van der Velden S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Fatima S. ⚽, van Doorm S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Udenhout J. (Own goal),
66', Verbont J. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Spit L. ⚽, Pouwels M. (A),
74', Zwikstra G. ↓, Deuling S. ↑,
75', Lopes Varela D. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
75', van Doorm S. ↓, ten Brinke N. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Pouwels M. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Spit L. ↓, Eggengoor I. ↑,
84', Reinders T. ↓, Brzezowski J. ↑,
85', Hamd Y. 🟨,
86', Pouwels M. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Tavares Q. ↓, Hulshoff D. ↑,
86', Tureaij C. ↓, Riley B. ↑,
86', Plank D. ↓, van der Velden S. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HHC won 2.
Recent form of HHC has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Excelsior Maassluis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, HHC is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, HHC won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, HHC won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
Watch
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Maats J. (G) 
Brzezowski J. 
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