Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN - CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)


	HIFK		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.5	Watch
	5.63	4.47	1.54
	5.8	3.9	1.47
	5.5	4.33	1.51
	5.2	4.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (3.73)	4.32 ↑ (3.75)	1.51 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
16.8%

Draw
21.5%

Gnistan
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

24.9%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

24.3%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HIFK's form might have worsened.

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gnistan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HIFK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gnistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

HIFK - Gnistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gnistan will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Tiainen J. (G) 13. Jarvinen J. 23. Arajuuri P. (C) 25. Pasi T. 18. Hanninen M. 21. Puro E. 15. Kujanpaa A. 10. Ahadi M. 19. Wahlman A. 14. Erikson Carlos 9. Ulmanen A.	45. Koski J. (C) 30. Mabinda J. 32. Ala-Iso S. 16. Rasimus K. 14. Olander H. 28. Kabashi A. 20. Medo 17. Sarr M. 6. Woivalin H. 10. Latonen J. 9. Markkanen E.
Substitutes
4. Aijo I. 5. Bamijoko A. 16. Hypponen A. 1. Jammeh S. (G) 30. Pallas E. 17. Varis E.	11. Jarvinen T. 23. Liikonen K. 33. Linnas O. (G) 25. Malolo R. 24. Sukunda Z. 5. Takamaki T. 19. Tolonen M.
Coaches
Okkonen S.	Rantanen J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches HIFK won 0.

HIFK has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gnistan in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Gnistan is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gnistan to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 6 head-to-head matches HIFK won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-12.

Including matches at home between the teams HIFK won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
17.09.23	Ekenäs - HIFK	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	HIFK - SJK Akatemia	1:2 ✺
24.08.23	TPS - HIFK	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	HIFK - Ekenäs	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	FF Jaro - HIFK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
17.09.23	Gnistan - TPS	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Gnistan - Salon Palloilijat	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	SJK Akatemia - Gnistan	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Gnistan - FF Jaro	1:1 ✺
11.08.23	JäPS - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
28.06.23	Gnistan - HIFK	4:0
14.04.23	HIFK - Gnistan	0:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
03.03.23	Gnistan - HIFK	2:0
28.01.23	HIFK - Gnistan	1:1
Finnish Cup
19.01.18	HIFK - Gnistan	1:1
11.02.17	HIFK - Gnistan	0:2

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