Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KuPS Kuopio		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	7	Watch
	1.38	5.25	6.75
	1.41	4.95	7.4	Watch
	1.4	5.26	7.33
	1.4	5.2	6.82	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7
	1.36	5.2	7.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	5.02 ↑ (4.93)	7.07 ↑ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
68%

Draw
18.7%

Gnistan
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Gnistan (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 24. Armah B. 33. Hamalainen T. 4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 9. Engvall G. 34. Ruoppi O. 19. Kabuye C. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.	22. Ramilson (G) 67. Obileye A. (C) 40. Ojala J. 24. Gnanou R. 12. Arko-Mensah E. 14. Eremenko S. 15. Europaeus G. 20. Bjurstrom M. H. 27. Hannula O. 11. Perez D. 26. Eremenko R.
Substitutes
3. Heiskanen S. 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 28. Magassa B. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 20. Soumahoro S. 26. Toivonen A.	17. Akinyemi A. 7. Atarah A. 19. Hanninen V. 31. Jouhi A. 10. Latonen J. 32. Lindstrom N. (G) 4. Marcelo Costa
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Leppalahti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Kabuye C. ↓, Kujasalo N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Engvall G. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
67', Perez D. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
78', Armah B. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
78', Hannula O. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
79', Kujasalo N. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Savolainen S. (A),
88', Ojala J. ↓, Marcelo Costa ↑,
88', Eremenko S. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
89', Eremenko R. ↓, Jouhi A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gnistan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, KuPS has had a series of away games.

Recently, Gnistan has had a series of home games.

In this match, KuPS is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E. (Inactive) Dahlstrom B. (Inactive) Launiala K. (Inactive) von Hellens L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in KuPS: Puukko A. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 3.8:1).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56% Gnistan: 2.17%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40:32	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	KuPS Kuopio - JIPPO	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
28.02.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Lech Poznań - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	Gnistan - Oulu	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	KTP Kotka - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gnistan - PK-35 Vantaa	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Gnistan - Klubi 04	Canceled ✺
14.03.26	Gnistan - SJK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTW?L

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.10.25	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	1:1
27.09.25	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:4
01.07.25	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	6:2
27.04.25	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	1:2
07.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	3:1
19.05.24	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:0
Finnish Cup
20.03.21	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	5:0

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