Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	JäPS		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	5.1	4.91	1.42
	5.32	4.95	1.42
	5.5	4.5	1.4
	5.61	5.08	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↑ (4.22)	4.86 ↑ (4.4)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
17%

Draw
18.8%

Gnistan
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

20.9%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

20.2%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gnistan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JäPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gnistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

JäPS - Gnistan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, JäPS has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gnistan is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, JäPS won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Ykkoscup
28.02.26	JäPS - Klubi 04	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JäPS	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	JäPS - JIPPO	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLWL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.26	Gnistan - Lahti	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	TPS - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	HJK - Gnistan	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Ilves - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
11.08.23	JäPS - Gnistan	1:2
04.06.23	Gnistan - JäPS	0:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
11.03.23	JäPS - Gnistan	1:0 penalties
04.02.23	JäPS - Gnistan	5:2
Finnish Ykkonen
11.07.22	JäPS - Gnistan	2:1
08.05.22	Gnistan - JäPS	10:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
04.02.22	Gnistan - JäPS	4:5

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