Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	TPS		JäPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.27	5.5	7.25
	1.3	6.33	7.3
				Watch
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.32	5.55	6.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)	5.6 ↑ (4.93)	6.99 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
70.5%

Draw
16.4%

JäPS
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

18.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

17.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TPS's performance.

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

TPS - JäPS Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +2 - TPS (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - TPS (1.09) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - TPS (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - TPS (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: TPS will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hakanpaa O. (G) 8. Bostrom A. 2. Haggstrom O. 9. Helen O. 26. Ikonen L. 20. Kauppila M. 14. Kawakita E. 29. Muzaci A. 19. Pippola T. 4. Sairinen A. 17. Sihvonen A. (C)	1. Laiho J. (G) 26. Ahadi M. 10. Ahola V. 3. Haikonen P. 21. Holopainen J. 6. Jama O. 4. Nikki J. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 41. Salo J. 14. Tapani J. (C)
Substitutes
5. Aitos J. 11. Dahlfors O. 30. Harju N. (G) 35. Lauri D. (G) 18. Rajamaki N. 10. Riski Ri. 28. Vakiparta T.	5. Arminen T. 8. Heidari R. 15. Hvidberg D. 31. Isaksson K. 22. Jarvinen T. 30. Mabinda J. 77. Mustafa B. (G) 27. Soderlund I. 18. Virtanen J.
Coaches
Pinol I.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Helen O. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Helen O. ⚽,
36', Tapani J. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Salo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, Ahadi M. ⚽,
64', Salo J. 🟨,
72', Ikonen L. ↓, Dahlfors O. ↑,
79', Ristola A. ↓, Soderlund I. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Pippola T. ⚽,
87', Ahadi M. 🟨,
89', Tapani J. ↓, Isaksson K. ↑,
89', Ahadi M. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
90+2', Helen O. ↓, Vakiparta T. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 2, Muzaci A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3.

TPS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, JäPS has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, TPS is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, TPS won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.06.25	JIPPO - TPS	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	TPS - SJK Akatemia	3:2 ✺
06.06.25	PK-35 Vantaa - TPS	2:3 ✺
02.06.25	TPS - Ekenäs	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	IFK Mariehamn - TPS	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.06.25	JäPS - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
13.06.25	JäPS - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	JäPS - KaPa	2:2 ✺
02.06.25	Lahti - JäPS	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	HJK - JäPS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
02.05.25	JäPS - TPS	0:6
27.09.24	TPS - JäPS	2:3
20.07.24	TPS - JäPS	4:0
22.05.24	JäPS - TPS	2:1
Finnish Ykkonen
02.07.23	JäPS - TPS	1:2
29.04.23	TPS - JäPS	2:1
18.09.22	JäPS - TPS	4:3

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