Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 29 March 2023, Wednesday


	HIFK		Ilves

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.73
	4.25	3.96	1.68
	3.34	3.6	1.93	Watch
	3.55	3.8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.41)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	1.8 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
24.9%

Draw
24.3%

Ilves
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

24.7%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

22.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches HIFK won 1.

HIFK is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ilves is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ilves will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches HIFK won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 25-43.

Including matches at home between the teams HIFK won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK
Club Friendly
25.03.23	HIFK - Atlantis Helsinki	3:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
03.03.23	Gnistan - HIFK	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	HIFK - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
17.02.23	HIFK - JäPS	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - HIFK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW
- FC Ilves
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Ilves - TPS	2:0 ✺
15.03.23	Salon Palloilijat - Ilves	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	HJK - Ilves	3:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
25.02.23	Ilves - SJK	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.09.22	HIFK - Ilves	1:5
04.07.22	HIFK - Ilves	0:1
22.06.22	Ilves - HIFK	0:1
31.10.21	HIFK - Ilves	0:3
14.09.21	Ilves - HIFK	1:0
15.05.21	HIFK - Ilves	1:1
15.10.20	HIFK - Ilves	1:2

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