Match Info

ICELAND: Besta deild karla - Round 7

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kórinn (Kópavogur)

Referee: Stefansson A. (Ice)


	HK Kópavogur		Valur

	1	X	2
	6.5	5	1.36
	7	5	1.36	Watch
	7.4	5.49	1.37
	7.39	5.49	1.37
	7	5	1.3
	7.24	5.4	1.35	Watch
	6.4	5	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.99 ↑ (4.98)	5.2 ↑ (4.2)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HK Kópavogur
13.3%

Draw
17.9%

Valur
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

22%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.7%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HK Kópavogur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HK Kópavogur's form might have worsened.

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

HK Kópavogur - Valur Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. HK Kópavogur will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Valur will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Olafsson A. (G) 2. Frostason K. S. 6. Jonsson B. 4. Leifsson L. (C) 20. Omarsson I. 14. Palsson B. 8. Atlason A. 24. Petursson M. 18. Arnarson A. 7. Nunn G. 10. Andrason A.	1. Schram F. (G) 11. Larusson S. 20. Omarsson O. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 21. Palsson J. 8. Jonsson J. 7. Johannsson A. 6. Antonsson Duffield B. 24. Palsson A. 17. Heimisson L. 12. Haraldsson T.
Substitutes
11. Aziz M. 26. Benediktsson V. 3. Gissurarson I. 33. Jonsson H. 29. Karlsson K. 16. Saebjornsson E. 12. Stefansson S. (G)	25. Agustsson S. (G) 71. Finsen O. 3. Gunnarsson H. 4. Helgason E. 9. Pedersen P. 2. Saevarsson B. 14. Tryggvason G.
Coaches
Gudmundsson O.	Gretarsson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Atlason A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Palsson J. ↓, Saevarsson B. ↑,
46', Antonsson Duffield B. ↓, Pedersen P. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Jonsson J. ⚽, Palsson A. (A),
59', Larusson S. ↓, Gunnarsson H. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Atlason A. ⚽,
70', Petursson M. ↓, Saebjornsson E. ↑,
74', Johannsson A. 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, Jonsson J. ⚽,
85', Palsson A. ↓, Tryggvason G. ↑,
86', Andrason A. ↓, Jonsson H. ↑,
87', Arnarson A. ↓, Karlsson K. ↑,
90+1', Tryggvason G. 🟨,
90+1', Johannsson A. ↓, Helgason E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches HK Kópavogur won 0.

Recent matches HK Kópavogur is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valur is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently HK Kópavogur have a series of guest games.

In this match Valur is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches HK Kópavogur won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 7-32.

Including matches at home between the teams HK Kópavogur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Kópavogur
Icelandic Cup
16.05.24	Fylkir - HK Kópavogur	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
12.05.24	KR Reykjavík - HK Kópavogur	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	HK Kópavogur - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:1 ✺
28.04.24	Vestri - HK Kópavogur	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
24.04.24	Throttur Reykjavik - HK Kópavogur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.9 LWWLW
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Cup
17.05.24	Afturelding - Valur	1:3 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.05.24	Valur - KA Akureyri	3:1 ✺
06.05.24	Breiðablik - Valur	2:3 ✺
29.04.24	Valur - Fram	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
24.04.24	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.09.23	Valur - HK Kópavogur	4:1
11.06.23	HK Kópavogur - Valur	0:5
Icelandic League Cup
02.03.23	Valur - HK Kópavogur	1:0
02.03.22	HK Kópavogur - Valur	0:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
25.07.21	HK Kópavogur - Valur	0:3
13.05.21	Valur - HK Kópavogur	3:2
Icelandic League Cup
06.03.21	Valur - HK Kópavogur	2:2

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