Match Info

ICELAND: Besta deild karla - Round 11

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Kórinn (Kópavogur)

Referee: Gudmundsson P. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	HK Kópavogur		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.65
	4.55	4.05	1.65	Watch
	4.74	4.47	1.64
	4.74	4.47	1.65
	4.2	4.2	1.57
	4.44	4.3	1.65	Watch
	4.3	4.2	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (4.39)	4.24 ↓ (4.31)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HK Kópavogur
21%

Draw
22%

Stjarnan
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

21.6%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

21.3%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HK Kópavogur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Olafsson A. (G) 6. Jonsson B. 4. Leifsson L. (C) 5. Antonsson T. 2. Frostason K. S. 8. Atlason A. 3. Gissurarson I. 7. Nunn G. 30. Jonasson A. 19. Burknason B. 10. Andrason A.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 4. Omarsson O. 9. Laxdal D. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 17. Adolphsson A. 35. Ingason H. 80. Thorkelsson R. 10. Halldorsson H. (C) 28. Gudlaugsson B. 7. Eggertsson O. 22. Atlason E.
Substitutes
26. Benediktsson V. 29. Karlsson K. 20. Omarsson I. 14. Palsson B. 24. Petursson M. 12. Stefansson S. (G) 28. Thorvarsson T.	11. Birgisson A. 37. Brink H. O. 30. Kjartansson K. 19. Matthiasson D. 45. Olsen G. 13. Rosenorn M. (G) 15. Valdimarsson T.
Coaches
Gudmundsson O.	Elisabetarson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Atlason E. ⚽, Ingason H. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Atlason A. ⚽, Frostason K. S. (A),
33', Frostason K. S. ↓, Benediktsson V. ↑,
45+2', 2 - 1, Benediktsson V. ⚽, Nunn G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 3 - 1, Halldorsson H. (Own goal),
62', Laxdal D. 🟨,
63', Gudlaugsson B. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
63', Ingason H. ↓, Olsen G. ↑,
63', Eggertsson O. ↓, Valdimarsson T. ↑,
68', Burknason B. ↓, Thorvarsson T. ↑,
75', Antonsson T. ↓, Palsson B. ↑,
75', Gissurarson I. ↓, Omarsson I. ↑,
75', Jonasson A. ↓, Petursson M. ↑,
78', Nunn G. 🟨,
80', Omarsson O. 🟨,
80', Thorkelsson R. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
80', Adolphsson A. 🟨,
88', 3 - 2, Brink H. O. ⚽,
89', 3 - 3, Atlason E. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 3, Andrason A. ⚽, Petursson M. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches HK Kópavogur won 1.

HK Kópavogur is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stjarnan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stjarnan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stjarnan is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches HK Kópavogur won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-21.

Including matches at home between the teams HK Kópavogur won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Kópavogur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.06.24	Fram - HK Kópavogur	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	HK Kópavogur - Breiðablik	0:2 ✺
27.05.24	Fylkir - HK Kópavogur	3:1 ✺
21.05.24	HK Kópavogur - Valur	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
16.05.24	Fylkir - HK Kópavogur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLL
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.06.24	Stjarnan - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
12.06.24	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
02.06.24	Vestri - Stjarnan	4:2 ✺
30.05.24	Valur - Stjarnan	5:1 ✺
26.05.24	Stjarnan - KA Akureyri	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
29.02.24	Stjarnan - HK Kópavogur	4:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
23.07.23	HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan	1:1
24.04.23	Stjarnan - HK Kópavogur	5:4
20.09.21	HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan	1:0
20.06.21	Stjarnan - HK Kópavogur	2:1
27.09.20	HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan	2:3
17.07.20	Stjarnan - HK Kópavogur	4:1

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