Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Briotech Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	HPS		MYPA

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.20	4.40
	1.62	4.15	3.85
	1.52	4.32	4.61
	1.66	4.29	3.87	Watch
	1.49	4.2	4.5
	1.62	4.15	4.15
	1.53	4.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.76)	4.22 ↑ (3.98)	4.18 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPS
57.2%

Draw
21.3%

MYPA
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

22.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPS's performance.

MYPA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPS than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

HPS - MYPA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hallikainen L. (G) 37. Alatalo A. 15. Blumme V. 12. Kajanoja K. 46. Lamberg E. 14. Lilja S. 2. Merilainen K. 4. Niskanen M. 45. Painilainen A. 10. Rekola B. 11. Ryhanen T.	99. Kaikkonen A. (G) 4. Eskelinen O. 9. Haimi O. 87. Hietala V. 26. Kaddouri K. 13. Kahkonen O. 6. Koykka M. 45. Makinen T. 14. Piira V. 28. Rauhala O. 5. Rauos J.
Substitutes
21. Boughrara H. 16. Eskola J. 23. Heiskanen L. 20. Lindstrom A. 13. Manadir R. (G) 22. Omar A. 19. Saukkonen J. 7. Simonov I. 8. Vaisanen O.	11. Ahmed M. 2. Ekman V. 3. Erjanko J. 17. Heimonen O. 21. Mehtojarvi K. 18. Onatsu A. 8. Ritola N. 25. Vanhala M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Haimi O. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Rekola B. (Penalty Awarded),
26', 2 - 1, Ryhanen T. ⚽,
41', Kaddouri K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Rauos J. ↓, Ekman V. ↑,
46', Hietala V. ↓, Onatsu A. ↑,
50', Painilainen A. 🟨,
50', Haimi O. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Onatsu A. ⚽,
65', 3 - 2, Lilja S. ⚽,
66', Painilainen A. ↓, Saukkonen J. ↑,
66', Rekola B. ↓, Boughrara H. ↑,
71', Haimi O. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
75', Makinen T. 🟨,
79', Piira V. ↓, Ritola N. ↑,
81', Alatalo A. ↓, Lindstrom A. ↑,
81', Ryhanen T. ↓, Heiskanen L. ↑,
86', 4 - 2, Lindstrom A. ⚽,
90', Niskanen M. ↓, Simonov I. ↑,
90+1', Ritola N. 🟨,
90+2', 5 - 2, Saukkonen J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).

Recent performances by HPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

MYPA's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, HPS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, HPS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
11.07.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - HPS	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	HPS - Lahden Reipas	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - HPS	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	HPS - Kiffen 08	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Union Plaani - HPS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW
- MYPA
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
11.07.26	MYPA - Union Plaani	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	HIFK - MYPA	4:0 ✺
27.06.26	MYPA - Atlantis Helsinki	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - MYPA	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	MYPA - PPJ Ruoholahti	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
09.05.26	MYPA - HPS	1:3

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