Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Kimpisen stadion (Lappeenranta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	PEPO Lappeenranta		HPS

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	4.33
	1.68	3.75	3.80
	1.6	4.49	4.44
	1.58	4.36	4.33	Watch
	1.53	4.4	4.35
	1.50	4.30	5.00
	1.68	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	4.15 ↑ (3.75)	4.29 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PEPO Lappeenranta
57.1%

Draw
21.8%

HPS
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

23.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

23.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

PEPO Lappeenranta - HPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kuitto M. (G) 8. Ahamdi E. 10. Enbuska J. 9. Jammeh I. 25. Jappinen J. (C) 29. Junnikkala A. 21. Kohonen L. 19. Koistinen M. 26. Pesonen P. 7. Salminen M. 4. Seppala E.	13. Manadir R. (G) 15. Blumme V. 12. Kajanoja K. 14. Lilja S. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 4. Niskanen M. 28. Oris J. 45. Painilainen A. 10. Rekola B. 11. Ryhanen T.
Substitutes
15. Heikkinen L. 13. Hinkkanen J. 23. Kopra T. (G) 20. Lattu E. 14. Maki-Uuro T. 27. Olives T. 40. Royti M. 28. Sikanen E. 1. Varganov A. (G)	27. Gronberg S. 1. Hallikainen L. (G) 23. Heiskanen L. 46. Lamberg E. 22. Omar A. 7. Simonov I. 24. Sipola J. 8. Vaisanen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Seppala E. ⚽,
36', Seppala E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Jammeh I. ⚽,
70', Nieminen T. 🟨,
90+3', Pesonen P. 🟨,
90+8', Oris J. 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ))

PEPO has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HPS is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, PEPO is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, PEPO won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
04.07.26	Atlantis Helsinki - PEPO Lappeenranta	5:1 ✺
27.06.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - PPJ Ruoholahti	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	HIFK - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - Lahden Reipas	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	MYPA - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWT
- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
04.07.26	HPS - Lahden Reipas	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - HPS	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	HPS - Kiffen 08	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Union Plaani - HPS	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	HPS - PPJ Ruoholahti	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
02.05.26	HPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2

PEPO Lappeenranta - HPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide