Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Denoek (Hoek)


	HSV Hoek		BVV Barendrecht

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.25	4.85
	1.55	4.65	4.38
	1.50	4.60	5.13	Watch
	1.51	4.33	4.81	Watch
	1.55	4.33	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	4.43 ↓ (4.6)	4.68 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
60%

Draw
20.6%

BVV Barendrecht
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

20.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

19.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSV Hoek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

HSV Hoek - BVV Barendrecht Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murre F. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 25. den Engelsman W. 21. Martens G. (C) 5. de Nooijer Y. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 10. Aelterman N. 14. Van Hauter R. 13. Hebbelinck K. 17. Sula D. 9. Hage S.	1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 8. Jongman J. 7. Monster D. (C) 5. Jouhri N. 10. Fortes E. 12. Schop C. 24. Ouali R. 21. Mrowicki O. 9. van der Heiden D. 11. Serghini A.
Substitutes
11. Delannoy G. 8. Lijbers T. 19. Ngongo J. 3. Pengel J. 30. Standaert M. (G) 16. Steenpoorte M. 15. van Gogh R.	30. Kooiman M. (G) 23. Lansman N. 26. Lopes D. 25. Rimon R. 27. Strick G. 14. Versluis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Martens G. ⚽, den Engelsman W. (A),
37', Ouali R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', van der Heiden D. ↓, Versluis R. ↑,
53', Martens G. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Serghini A. ⚽,
62', Bouihrouchane H. 🟨,
69', Bouihrouchane H. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
69', Sula D. ↓, Lijbers T. ↑,
76', Ouali R. ↓, Strick G. ↑,
82', Monster D. 🟨,
83', Monster D. ↓, Lansman N. ↑,
90+1', Schop C. 🟨,
90+2', Serghini A. ↓, Rimon R. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 and 15).

Hoek has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barendrecht has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hoek is the team to beat.

We predict that Hoek will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.11.25	Jong Almere City - HSV Hoek	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	HSV Hoek - Amsterdamsche FC	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Kozakken Boys - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	HSV Hoek - ACV	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	HSV Hoek - FC Eindhoven	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWWW
- BVV Barendrecht
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.11.25	BVV Barendrecht - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Spakenburg - BVV Barendrecht	8:0 ✺
08.11.25	BVV Barendrecht - Koninklijke HFC	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Sportlust 46 - BVV Barendrecht	1:0 penalties ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

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