Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Denoek (Hoek)


	HSV Hoek		De Treffers

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.60	1.80
	3.05	3.50	1.98
	3.17	3.96	1.95
	3.38	3.98	1.91	Watch
	3.05	3.80	1.93
	3.34	4.18	1.88	Watch
	3.45	3.65	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.85)	3.81 ↑ (3.35)	1.9 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
28%

Draw
24%

De Treffers
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

25.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

De Treffers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Treffers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Treffers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

HSV Hoek - De Treffers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Standaert M. (G) 4. Ketels L. 21. Martens G. (C) 24. Siereveld G. 5. de Nooijer Y. 2. de Poorter R. 8. Brebels S. 10. Aelterman N. 14. Van Hauter R. 7. Hebbelinck K. 17. Avoki P.	1. Stoskovic P. (G) 18. Hekkert J. 12. van Hedel J. 4. van Ginkel J. 2. Zeller M. 5. van Strien R. 8. van der Heijden S. (C) 7. Brussaard B. 10. den Dekker W. 17. van Bakel S. 9. Waterink T.
Substitutes
23. Boere T. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 22. Demuynck D. 19. Jalloh A. 16. Steenpoorte M. 30. Van Damme S. (G)	19. Coffie J. 6. Ippel R. 24. Keizer K. 23. Kesting J. (G) 29. Surmeli K. 22. van der Logt J. 11. Vlijter G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, de Nooijer Y. ⚽, Van Hauter R. (A),
21', de Poorter R. 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, de Poorter R. ⚽, Avoki P. (A),
28', van Hedel J. 🟨,
32', Avoki P. ↓, Jalloh A. ↑,
33', Brussaard B. ↓, Vlijter G. ↑,
34', den Dekker W. ↓, Keizer K. ↑,
34', Hekkert J. ↓, Ippel R. ↑,
36', van Strien R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Hebbelinck K. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
67', van Strien R. ↓, Coffie J. ↑,
67', van Hedel J. ↓, van der Logt J. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Waterink T. ⚽,
73', Van Hauter R. 🟨,
76', 3 - 1, Demuynck D. ⚽, Aelterman N. (A),
77', Waterink T. 🟨,
89', Van Hauter R. ↓, Bouihrouchane H. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 2nd).

Recent results have been tough for Hoek (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

De Treffers shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

De Treffers is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hoek has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hoek against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	De Treffers	8	4	3	1	20:9	11	15
13	Hoek	8	2	3	3	11:13	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
26.09.26	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - HSV Hoek	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	HSV Hoek - Jong Almere City	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	BVV Barendrecht - HSV Hoek	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	RKAV Volendam - HSV Hoek	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	HSV Hoek - Spakenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTTLL
- De Treffers
Dutch Tweede Divisie
26.09.26	De Treffers - Spakenburg	5:0 ✺
19.09.26	Katwijk - De Treffers	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	De Treffers - Koninklijke HFC	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	HHC Hardenberg - De Treffers	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	De Treffers - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
23.05.26	De Treffers - HSV Hoek	2:2
13.12.25	HSV Hoek - De Treffers	2:1

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