Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Denoek (Hoek)


	HSV Hoek		HHC Hardenberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.28
	2.6	3.51	2.33
	2.66	3.73	2.32	Watch
	2.62	3.44	2.29	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.35)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.36 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
35.3%

Draw
26%

HHC Hardenberg
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

HHC Hardenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HHC Hardenberg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

HSV Hoek - HHC Hardenberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murre F. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 21. Martens G. 25. den Engelsman W. 5. de Nooijer Y. 9. Hage S. 14. Van Hauter R. 10. Aelterman N. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 11. Delannoy G. 20. Schalkwijk S. (C)	1. Maats J. (G) 20. Bouws D. (C) 3. Fatima S. 8. Olde Weghuis T. 2. Sopacua T. 6. Eikelboom H. 10. Spit L. 22. ten Brinke N. 11. Schraven J. 9. Zwikstra G. 23. Reinders T.
Substitutes
7. Hebbelinck K. 8. Lijbers T. 3. Pengel J. 30. Standaert M. (G) 16. Steenpoorte M. 6. Vandecandelaere G. 15. van Gogh R.	18. Brzezowski J. 15. de Lange T. 14. Deuling S. 21. Eggengoor I. 24. Esink D. (G) 17. Mink M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Spit L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Reinders T. ↓, Deuling S. ↑,
62', Hage S. ↓, Hebbelinck K. ↑,
66', Spit L. ↓, de Lange T. ↑,
68', Bouws D. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Martens G. ⚽, den Engelsman W. (A),
70', Zwikstra G. 🟨,
77', Aelterman N. ↓, Lijbers T. ↑,
77', Delannoy G. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
80', Bouws D. ↓, Mink M. ↑,
80', Sopacua T. ↓, Brzezowski J. ↑,
80', ten Brinke N. ↓, Eggengoor I. ↑,
90+2', Schalkwijk S. ↓, Pengel J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 1).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
04.10.25	GVVV - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	HSV Hoek - Excelsior Maassluis	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.25	HSV Hoek - Blauw Geel 38	1:0 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
20.09.25	RKAV Volendam - HSV Hoek	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	HSV Hoek - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLT
- HHC Hardenberg
Dutch Tweede Divisie
04.10.25	HHC Hardenberg - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Spakenburg - HHC Hardenberg	2:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.25	Noordwijk - HHC Hardenberg	0:2 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
20.09.25	HHC Hardenberg - Koninklijke HFC	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Katwijk - HHC Hardenberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW

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