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Current Win Probability
Hadiya Hossana 23.6%
Draw 36.3%
Mechal 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
32.7%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
32.4%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hadiya Hossana's form might have worsened.
Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hadiya Hossana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Hadiya Hossana - Mechal Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mechal will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Mechal (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Mechal (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mechal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechal (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Gugsa C. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Wamisho D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5).
Hadiya Hossana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mechal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Mechal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mechal might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
2025/26
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Mechal
38
14
15
9
44:31
13
57
12
Hadiya Hossana
38
11
15
12
31:35
-4
48
Last Results with these Odds
Hadiya Hossana - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.17%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Mechal - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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