Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Hadiya Hossana		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.78	3.9
	2.27	2.88	3.40	Watch
	2.1	2.63	3.6
	2.14	3.13	3.54	Watch
	2.08	2.66	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	3.74 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hadiya Hossana
43.1%

Draw
32.5%

Shire Endaselassie
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

32.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hadiya Hossana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Hadiya Hossana - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hadiya Hossana will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sihul Shire will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hadiya Hossana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sihul Shire (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hadiya Hossana (votes: 1 - 50%). Sihul Shire (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Dejene T. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Beyene B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Ahmed E. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Temesgen S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 13).

Hadiya Hossana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sihul Shire is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hadiya Hossana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hadiya Hossana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Hadiya Hossana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League
10.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Hadiya Hossana - Sidama Coffee	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Hawassa City - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
24.12.25	Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Hadiya Hossana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLWWW
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
08.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Ethio Electric - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
19.05.25	Hadiya Hossana - Shire Endaselassie	1:1
01.12.24	Shire Endaselassie - Hadiya Hossana	0:1
16.02.20	Shire Endaselassie - Hadiya Hossana	0:0

Hadiya Hossana - Shire Endaselassie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide