Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday


	Fasil Kenema		Hadiya Hossana

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.78	3.75
	2.48	2.6	3.37
	2.48	2.56	3.41	Watch
	2.45	2.4	3.3
	2.4	2.57	3.39	Watch
	2.42	2.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.11)	2.59 ↓ (2.97)	3.44 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
38.2%

Draw
35.3%

Hadiya Hossana
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

31.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fasil Kenema's form might have worsened.

Hadiya Hossana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Temesgen S. ⚽, Beyene B. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 2.

Fasil Kenema has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hadiya Hossana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fasil Kenema will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Hadiya Hossana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
05.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema	2:3 ✺
16.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWTL
- Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League
04.02.26	Hadiya Hossana - Mechal	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Hadiya Hossana	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Hadiya Hossana - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Hadiya Hossana - Shire Endaselassie	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
01.05.25	Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	1:1
11.01.25	Hadiya Hossana - Fasil Kenema	1:1
04.05.24	Hadiya Hossana - Fasil Kenema	1:2
15.12.23	Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	1:2
01.05.23	Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	2:1
25.12.22	Hadiya Hossana - Fasil Kenema	0:0
30.03.22	Hadiya Hossana - Fasil Kenema	1:1

Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide