Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Shire Endaselassie		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	4.55	2.92	1.82
	4.21	3.04	1.94	Watch
	4.33	2.75	1.85
	4.41	2.9	1.89
	4.75	2.9	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.15)	2.9 ↑ (2.76)	1.87 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shire Endaselassie
20.4%

Draw
31.2%

Negele Arsi Ketema
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

32.8%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

32.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shire Endaselassie's form might have worsened.

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Negele Arsi Ketema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shire Endaselassie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shire Endaselassie - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Negele Arsi Ketema will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Bizuneh K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3).

In recent matches, Sihul Shire has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Negele Arsi Ketema is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sihul Shire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Negele Arsi Ketema is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
04.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Ethio Electric - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLTT
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
04.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:3 ✺
24.12.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Hadiya Hossana - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLW

Shire Endaselassie - Negele Arsi Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide