Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Amland S. (Nor)


	Haka		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.7
	1.85	3.65	3.9
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	1.95	3.48	3.87
	1.97	3.48	3.76
	1.96	3.65	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.53)	3.47 ↓ (4.07)	3.78 ↓ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
48.5%

Draw
26.8%

Crusaders
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haka's form might have worsened.

Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crusaders's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Haka - Crusaders Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Crusaders will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haka: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hakala A. (G) 21. Bah-Traore H. 3. Friberg N. (C) 4. Auvinen E. 18. Mahuta R. 17. Laine J. 8. Siira T. 15. Purme T. 11. Rogerson L. 13. Fofana T. 10. Zarokostas S.	33. Tuffey J. (G) 20. Larmour D. 2. Burns B. (C) 23. McKeown R. 15. O'Rourke J. 8. Kennedy B. 9. Lecky A. 22. Heatley P. 14. Forsythe J. 7. Lowry P. 25. Clarke R.
Substitutes
25. Herbert A. 16. Laaksonen O. 1. Lepola A. (G) 9. Lescano J. 20. Malundama H. 5. Ndiaye F. 6. Sihvonen A. 7. Whyte O.	42. Anderson L. 28. Boyd J. 17. Kennedy M. 41. Kerr R. (G) 18. Owens J. 21. Smith M. 11. Teelan J. 6. Weir R. 1. Williamson J. (G) 19. Winchester J.
Coaches
Tainio T.	Baxter S.

Preview

1st leg.

Haka is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Haka is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.07.23	Haka - Inter Turku	2:2 ✺
01.07.23	Oulu - Haka	3:0 ✺
27.06.23	Haka - HJK	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Lahti - Haka	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Haka - Ilves	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTLT
- Crusaders FC
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Crusaders - Dundela	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Charity Shield
01.07.23	Larne - Crusaders	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.06.23	Crusaders - The New Saints	1:4 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
07.05.23	Ballymena United - Crusaders	0:4 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
29.04.23	Crusaders - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
31.10.26	Limavady United - Crusaders	✺

Haka - Crusaders