Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Haka		HJK

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.33	1.6	Watch
	6	4.75	1.44
	4.95	4.45	1.61	Watch
	5.19	4.42	1.63
	2.99	3.81	2.14	Watch
	6	4.6	1.44
	4.93	4.4	1.61	Watch
	3.3	4.15	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (3.3)	4.36 ↑ (4.1)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
20.4%

Draw
22%

HJK
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

22.4%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

22%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haka's form might have worsened.

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	10.5%	73.7%

Haka - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). HJK will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 2 - 16.7%). HJK (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Haka (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 3 - 23.1%). HJK (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lepola A. (G) 30. Purosalo V. 3. Friberg N. (C) 15. Almen M. 13. Sallinen O. 99. Sejdiu A. 19. Okyere A. 66. Selander R. 18. Mommo E. 9. Akintunde J. 17. Multanen K.	16. Henriksson E. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 6. Tikkanen V. 3. Antzoulas G. 13. Simojoki K. 10. Lingman L. 4. Ring A. (C) 8. Kanellopoulos G. 99. Michel B. 21. Mentu P. 7. Hostikka S.
Substitutes
16. Bulgakov D. 32. Heino O. (G) 4. Houston J. 21. Jalasvaara A. 8. Lindholm S. 10. Lucas Cini 64. Parfitt-Williams D. 6. Romero E. 2. Talo N.	17. Besuijen V. 24. Boamah M. 31. Bogicevic M. 19. Ezeh D. 41. Karashima Y. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 5. O'Shaughnessy D. 30. Ramula A. (G)
Coaches
Martonen K.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Mommo E. ⚽, Sejdiu A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Lingman L. 🟨,
50', Selander R. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Antzoulas G. ⚽, Lingman L. (A),
57', Selander R. ↓, Lindholm S. ↑,
57', Sejdiu A. ↓, Bulgakov D. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Lingman L. ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
68', Lingman L. ↓, Ezeh D. ↑,
68', Akintunde J. ↓, Lucas Cini ↑,
69', Mommo E. 🟨,
80', Mentu P. ↓, Karashima Y. ↑,
84', Almen M. 🟨,
87', Friberg N. 🟨,
89', Okyere A. ↓, Romero E. ↑,
90', Multanen K. ↓, Parfitt-Williams D. ↑,
90+2', Simojoki K. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1.

Haka has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

HJK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Haka has had a series of away games.

In this match, HJK is the team to beat.

There will not play in Haka: Gianini Dantas N. (Inactive) Houston J. (Inactive) Hughes L. (Inactive)

There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D. (Inactive) Moller L. (Inactive) O'Shaughnessy D. (Inactive) Ost J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in HJK: Mentu P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 14:50. (average 0.7:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 0.9:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.25	FF Jaro - Haka	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	KuPS Kuopio - Haka	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
21.07.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Gnistan - Haka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
11.08.25	HJK - Ilves	5:1 ✺
04.08.25	HJK - Inter Turku	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	HJK - Arda Kardzhali	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.07.25	Gnistan - HJK	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - HJK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.06.25	HJK - Haka	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.02.25	HJK - Haka	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
06.10.24	HJK - Haka	0:1
20.07.24	HJK - Haka	2:0
27.04.24	Haka - HJK	1:1
27.06.23	Haka - HJK	1:1
29.04.23	HJK - Haka	2:0

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