The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crusaders 19.4%
Draw 24%
Glentoran 56.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.6%
24.1%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
23.2%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Glentoran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Crusaders - Glentoran Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Glentoran will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Tuffey J. (G) 42. Anderson L. 43. Barr L. 9. Brooks A. 19. Bryden F. 11. Dunlop E. 12. Easton E. 2. Forsythe K. 20. Mccart O. 15. O'Rourke J. (C) 16. Williamson J.
1. Mills A. (G) 15. Coll C. 7. Connolly D. 2. Cooney R. 9. Hoban P. 30. Jenkins J. 3. Kane M. (C) 5. Kelly J. 16. McEleney S. 8. Palmer C. 27. Singleton J.
Substitutes
64. Beattie M. 1. Dibaga M. (G) 26. Donnelly R. 3. Hamilton B. 87. Harrison B. 92. Karrabecaj A. 89. Ritchie J.
17. Burt L. 14. Ferris N. 19. Fisher D. 18. Kamara M. 11. Pattisson C. 28. Russell J. 32. Watt J.
Coaches
Caddell D.
Devine D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Mccart O. 🟨,
12', Williamson J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Jenkins J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Bryden F. ⚽,
65', Connolly D. ↓, Burt L. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Bryden F. ⚽,
74', Kelly J. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
74', Jenkins J. ↓, Fisher D. ↑,
77', Singleton J. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Cooney R. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Fisher D. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 1.
Crusaders has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Glentoran is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Crusaders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Glentoran is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).