Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 2

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Inver Park (Larne)


	Larne		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.46	4.05	6.3
	1.71	3.81	4.38
	1.00	23.21	30.00	Watch
	1.45	3.98	7.07
	1.69	3.6	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)	7.06 ↑ (3.58)	9.63 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Larne
73.4%

Draw
15.4%

Crusaders
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Larne's performance.

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crusaders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Larne - Crusaders Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Larne (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Larne will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 26. Bent D. 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 6. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 30. Lusty M. 14. Magee B. 19. Nolan R. 8. Randall M. 3. Ridley M. 47. Simpson J.	33. Tuffey J. (G) 42. Anderson L. 43. Barr L. 9. Brooks A. 25. Clarke R. 11. Dunlop E. 12. Easton E. 2. Forsythe K. 15. O'Rourke J. 6. Weir R. 16. Williamson J.
Substitutes
36. Graham D. (G) 40. Harkin M. 22. McEneff J. 7. McKendry C. 27. Moore K. 10. O'Connor T. 46. Wallace L.	19. Bryden F. 1. Dibaga M. (G) 3. Hamilton B. 92. Karrabecaj A. 20. Mccart O. 23. McCart O. 10. Thorndike F.
Coaches
Haveron G.	Caddell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Bent D. ⚽,
21', Weir R. ↓, Thorndike F. ↑,
38', Thorndike F. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Graham S. ⚽,
53', 3 - 0, Lusty M. ⚽,
61', Randall M. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
61', Magee B. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
61', Forsythe K. ↓, Mccart O. ↑,
61', Dunlop E. ↓, McCart O. ↑,
72', Lusty M. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
72', Simpson J. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, O'Connor T. ⚽,
89', Gallagher C. ↓, Harkin M. ↑,
90', Williamson J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Larne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Larne is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Larne - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.74%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
13.09.25	Larne - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bangor - Larne	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Larne - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Larne - Portadown	4:0 ✺
19.08.25	Cliftonville - Larne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWT
- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
13.09.25	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Crusaders - Coleraine	0:4 ✺
29.08.25	Portadown - Crusaders	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Crusaders - Glentoran	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Bangor - Crusaders	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
05.04.25	Crusaders - Larne	2:2
08.02.25	Larne - Crusaders	0:1
07.01.25	Crusaders - Larne	1:3
19.10.24	Larne - Crusaders	1:1
06.04.24	Larne - Crusaders	0:1
12.01.24	Crusaders - Larne	0:2
15.12.23	Crusaders - Larne	0:3

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