Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Haka		IFK Mariehamn

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.5
	1.89	3.55	4.15	Watch
	1.76	3.88	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.6
	1.84	3.74	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.66 ↓ (3.98)	4.29 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
52.2%

Draw
25.8%

IFK Mariehamn
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.1%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Haka - IFK Mariehamn Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Mariehamn (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Haka will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hughes L. (G) 30. Purosalo V. 3. Friberg N. 15. Almen M. 18. Mommo E. 6. Romero E. 16. Bulgakov D. 19. Okyere A. 7. Da Sylva J. 8. Lindholm S. 64. Parfitt-Williams D.	32. Riikonen M. (G) 35. Toivonen E. 4. Lindgren P. 14. Fonsell M. 33. Enqvist D. 8. Dahlstrom S. 6. Kujasalo N. 20. Patut E. 16. Huttunen A. 7. Adedoyin K. 10. Cardoso H.
Substitutes
5. Gianini Dantas N. 21. Jalasvaara A. 12. Lepola A. (G) 10. Lucas Cini 17. Multanen K. 66. Selander R. 11. Traore S.	43. Andersson L. 21. Lundberg A. 15. Muskwe A. 28. Nissinen J. 30. Okereke E. 18. Olawale M. 80. Viitala J. (G)
Coaches
Smith A.	Williams G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Lindgren P. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Patut E. ⚽,
44', Da Sylva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Parfitt-Williams D. ↓, Lucas Cini ↑,
58', Fonsell M. ↓, Okereke E. ↑,
67', Patut E. 🟨,
73', Adedoyin K. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
75', Lindholm S. 🟨,
78', Okyere A. ↓, Selander R. ↑,
78', Romero E. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
87', Friberg N. ↓, Gianini Dantas N. ↑,
90+1', Huttunen A. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Haka won 2.

Recent matches Haka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mariehamn has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Haka is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Haka won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:16 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Haka won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.25	Haka - Gnistan	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Ekenäs - Haka	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Haka - Klubi 04	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Lahti - Haka	2:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
26.02.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTLT
- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.25	IFK Mariehamn - FF Jaro	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	IFK Göteborg - IFK Mariehamn	2:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
26.02.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
26.02.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.07.24	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	0:3
07.06.24	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	2:0
22.09.23	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	2:1
11.08.23	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1
13.05.23	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	2:1
06.08.22	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	2:0

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