Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	IFK Mariehamn		Haka

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.45
	2.88	3.5	2.3
	2.76	3.65	2.52
	3.08	3.37	2.26	Watch
	2.94	3.45	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)	2.34 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Mariehamn
32.8%

Draw
27%

Haka
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

IFK Mariehamn - Haka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Riikonen M. (G) 2. Nurmi N. 20. Patut E. 14. Fonsell M. 28. Nissinen J. 23. Heyden J. 33. Enqvist D. 8. Dahlstrom S. 6. Kujasalo N. 7. Adedoyin K. 11. Reid J.	1. Hughes L. (G) 30. Purosalo V. 3. Friberg N. 15. Almen M. 18. Mommo E. 7. Da Sylva J. 19. Okyere A. 66. Selander R. 99. Sejdiu A. 8. Lindholm S. 9. Akintunde J.
Substitutes
43. Andersson L. 27. El-Kathemi E. 16. Huttunen A. 21. Lundberg A. 1. Lund K. (G) 30. Okereke E. 18. Olawale M.	24. Boamah M. 4. Houston J. 11. Hudd R. 12. Lepola A. (G) 23. Lescano J. 10. Lucas Cini 17. Multanen K. 6. Romero E. 13. Sallinen O.
Coaches
Williams G.	Martonen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Adedoyin K. ⚽, Enqvist D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Lindholm S. 🟨,
72', Selander R. ↓, Lescano J. ↑,
72', Da Sylva J. ↓, Boamah M. ↑,
76', Lindholm S. 🟨,
79', Reid J. ↓, Olawale M. ↑,
79', Nissinen J. ↓, El-Kathemi E. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Okyere A. ⚽, Almen M. (A),
82', Sejdiu A. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
82', Friberg N. ↓, Houston J. ↑,
86', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Huttunen A. ↑,
90', Akintunde J. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.

Mariehamn is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Haka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M. (Inactive) Lindgren P. (Red Card) Raitanen P. (Knee Injury) Toivonen E. (Injury)

There will not play in Haka: Gianini Dantas N. (Inactive) Houston J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Haka: Sejdiu A. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.25	Ilves - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	8:2 ✺
16.08.25	IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan	2:5 ✺
01.08.25	VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLT
- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.25	Oulu - Haka	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Haka - SJK	2:3 ✺
17.08.25	Haka - HJK	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	FF Jaro - Haka	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	KuPS Kuopio - Haka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.07.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	1:1
12.04.25	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
26.02.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.07.24	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	0:3
07.06.24	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	2:0
22.09.23	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	2:1
11.08.23	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1

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